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Myanmar junta will press on with election plans

Location:

MYANMAR

This enables the State Administration Council, the junta headed by military chief and coup leader Min Aung Hlaing, to remain in place for another six months. Min Aung Hlaing…

China will steadfastly back Myanmar’s military

Location:

MYANMAR/CHINA

The junta in Naypyidaw is under growing external pressure to restore the democratically elected civilian government. Several Western powers, including the United States, have…

Myanmar junta will lose further ground in near term

Location:

MYANMAR

The resistance to the junta, including People’s Defence Forces aligned with the anti-junta National Unity Government (NUG) as well as ethnic armed organisations long pitted…

Regional engagement with Myanmar will steadily grow

Location:

MYANMAR

ASEAN continues to champion its ‘Five-Point Consensus’ (5PC) plan for easing the country’s tensions, but in parallel, key players within the group -- namely Indonesia and Malaysia…

Cambodia will try to rebalance its partnerships

Location:

CAMBODIA

Cambodia, chairing ASEAN this year, is attempting to further the bloc’s five-point plan for easing Myanmar’s post-coup tensions. Separately, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida…

Myanmar’s Russia ties will grow stronger

Location:

MYANMAR

Separately, Russian arms transfers to Naypyidaw are fuelling the conflict between the junta and its armed opponents. Among the countries that remain close to Myanmar, Russia and…

Civil-military dynamic will fuel Myanmar’s crisis

Location:

MYANMAR

The military continues to crack down heavily on anti-coup protesters. Its leaders have long regarded civil society as a threat to Myanmar’s unity and security.

Washington’s interests will dominate US-ASEAN summit

Location:

US/ASEAN

The event was originally due to take place in March but was postponed because some South-east Asian leaders could not attend on the scheduled dates. Washington and ASEAN are…

Myanmar military will count on Russian support

Location:

MYANMAR

Unlike most Western powers, Russia has refused to condemn the February 1 coup in which the Myanmar army ousted the country’s democratically elected civilian government. Russia’s…

ASEAN will be weakened by internal strains

Location:

ASEAN

This year, it plans to hold its 38th and 39th summits back-to-back on October 26-28. The decision to postpone the first meeting is likely a response to internal strains. The bloc…