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Myanmar junta will lose further ground in near term

Content type:: Expert Briefings
Location:: MYANMAR
Keywords associated with this article:: Geographic: Myanmar AP Afghanistan China East Asia IMF-World Bank India Russia South-east Asia United Nations

Topical: economy industry politics social ethnic government military narcotics opposition regional security agriculture arms consumer election employment energy exchange rate food foreign trade growth human rights poverty prices sanctions coup emergency civil war legislation
ISSN:: 2633-304X
Citation:: Oxford Analytica (2024), "Myanmar junta will lose further ground in near term", Expert Briefings.
https://doi.org/10.1108/OXAN-DB288947

Tuesday, August 13, 2024

Significance

The resistance to the junta, including People’s Defence Forces aligned with the anti-junta National Unity Government (NUG) as well as ethnic armed organisations long pitted against the military, continues to make territorial gains.

Impacts

Myanmar’s neighbours will step up pressure on the junta to hold elections.
The junta’s military and economic dependence on China and Russia will deepen.
Regional drug cartels will step up trafficking through the Gulf of Thailand.

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Significance

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