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Italy will see volatile general election campaign

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ITALY

Italy’s upcoming general election.

Ecuador’s Noboa will struggle in office

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ECUADOR

His rival, Luisa Gonzalez of the leftist Citizen Revolution (RC), has recognised the result. Noboa, who belongs to one of Ecuador’s wealthiest families, will take office next…

Refugee wave to complicate German immigration policy

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GERMANY

Last year saw the largest population increase since 1992, largely owing to immigration, according to the Federal Statistical Office. The asylum seeker influx has revived debates…

Permanent EU asylum reforms will be hard in crisis

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EU

The EU's 'Dublin' asylum system, whereby protection responsibilities rest with the first EU state of entry, has broken down under the scale of the influx of refugees and migrants…

Right-wing populism will change EU politics

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EUROPE

Right-wing populism.

Polish PiS may be largest party yet fail to govern

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POLAND

Right-wing Law and Justice (PiS), the main opposition party, may emerge from the elections as the largest parliamentary group. However, it could find itself in opposition for…

Ecuador’s election run-off result will be tight

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ECUADOR

National legislative elections were also dominated by RC, which took nearly 40% of the vote. Two referendums on limiting extractive activities were held alongside the elections;…

Referendums may pose challenges for new Ecuador leader

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ECUADOR

The first relates to whether oil production should continue at three fields in and around the Yasuni National Park in the Amazonian region, and the second to whether mining…

Rapid recovery will prove elusive in Argentina

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ARGENTINA

The primary surplus (0.6% of GDP) was driven by a 35% real fall in primary spending, which offset a recession-induced 4.5% drop in revenues. Month-on-month inflation has also…

Argentina spending cuts aim to ease primary deficit

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ARGENTINA

Massa also extended peso debt maturities through a successful debt swap. On the political front, he was able to overcome the resistance of Vice-President Cristina Fernandez de…