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Article
Publication date: 17 May 2021

Isaac Chitedze, Chukwuemeka Cosmas Nwedeh Nwedeh, Adenikinju Adeola and Donald Chidera Chidera Abonyi

The purpose of this paper is to examine the extent at which electricity consumption (EC) has contributed to real sector performance, to identify energy-dependent sectors of the…

171

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to examine the extent at which electricity consumption (EC) has contributed to real sector performance, to identify energy-dependent sectors of the economy for appropriate sector-specific policy interventions and to avoid energy conservation policies that may retard the growth of the real sector and economic growth in general.

Design/methodology/approach

This paper used time series data, covering the period between 1981 and 2015. Various time series econometric analyses such as unit root test for stationarity and vector autoregressive and vector error correction models were used to establish the long-run and short-run co-integration relationship among the variables.

Findings

This study finds that EC displays a little and insignificant impact on manufacturing sector output, as well as agriculture and service outputs. The empirical result from causality test suggests a unidirectional causality running from agriculture to EC, as well as service sector to EC, whereas bidirectional causality runs between EC and manufacturing sector. This study therefore recommends adequate power supply to the manufacturing sector, while energy efficiency policy and regulatory reform should address agriculture and service sectors.

Originality/value

Few studies have examined the impact of EC on disaggregated gross domestic product. This research gap has strong policy implications on Nigerian economy as the output of real sector plays vital role in driving the economy. Given the pressing needs for Nigeria to boost real sector output and be among the world’s 20 largest economies by 2030, it becomes imperative for this sector-specific research to be conducted to ensure that sectoral purpose-driven energy interventions are formulated to address power supply challenges in the real sector.

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Book part
Publication date: 23 May 2023

Ramesh Chandra Das

The literature on sustainable development reveals that the financial sector and the real sector should maintain a coherent association in the long run. Thus, like that in a…

Abstract

The literature on sustainable development reveals that the financial sector and the real sector should maintain a coherent association in the long run. Thus, like that in a country-level significance, the relevance of the investigations of the interrelationships between the financial sector’s development and the growth and development of the states within a country is also required to be done. This chapter tries to examine the interrelationships between two sets of variables, bank credit and state output, and bank credit and human development, for the pre-reform and post-reform periods. Using the appropriate time series econometric analysis, the study finds no long-run relationships between credit and NSDP during the pre-reform period but it has observed a number of states where such stable relations hold during the post-reform period. Again, there are mixed results between the two in the Granger causality analysis during both the periods. There are the states like AP, Bihar, Karnataka, Kerala and WB where developments in the financial sector influence the growth of the real sector, while the reverse causality, that is, from the real sector to the financial sectors works in case of Assam, Haryana, MP and Maharashtra. Bidirectional causality between the two is observed in the states like TN, WB, etc. Further, the study finds very small number of states where credit and human development are interlinked in the long run. However, in the short run, the financial sector makes influences to the human development in case of the states like Bihar, Odisha and TN.

Details

Growth and Developmental Aspects of Credit Allocation: An inquiry for Leading Countries and the Indian States
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-80382-612-7

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Article
Publication date: 26 June 2019

Soumya Guha Deb, Sibanjan Mishra and Pradip Banerjee

The purpose of this paper is to examine the causal relationship between economic development and financial sector development for 28 countries at different stages of their…

456

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to examine the causal relationship between economic development and financial sector development for 28 countries at different stages of their development. The authors specifically focus on the nature of causality during economic boom and tranquil cycles.

Design/methodology/approach

The study uses quarterly time series panels of 17 developed and 11 emerging countries, during 1993Q1-2014Q4 with each having three sub-panels – full sample, a period of the economic uptrend (UP), and period of the economic downtrend. The authors use a univariate analysis for initial screening followed by panel unit root test, panel co-integration and causality test proposed by Toda–Yamamoto to examine the causal relationship.

Findings

The principal results suggest that for developed economies, there is a causal flow from financial sector to real sector in line with the “supply-leading” hypothesis, whereas for emerging economies, it is from real sector to financial sector, in line with the “demand-following” hypothesis. This overall relationship is strong for both emerging and developed economies during economic boom or UP cycles, but becomes weak during economic downturns or tranquil periods.

Originality/value

This study is different from previous studies on this issue and contributes to the existing literature in a number of ways. First, the focus of this paper revolves around identification of differential patterns in causal flows between real and financial sectors for different economies, across different economic cycles. Second, to present a robust representation of financial sector, the authors consider both banking sector and stock market parameters as the proxy for financial sector development. Third, the authors address the “stock-flow problem” in the measurement of financial variables a typical criticism of some of the previous studies. Finally, the authors use a rich sample size comprising of about 2,500 quarterly observations for each variable, with about 1,500 observations from developed and 1,000 from emerging economies.

Details

Studies in Economics and Finance, vol. 36 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1086-7376

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Article
Publication date: 30 August 2011

Qazi Muhammad Adnan Hye and Irina Dolgopolova

The purpose of this paper is to construct a financial development index for China and to analyze the relationship between the financial sector development index and economic growth

1528

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to construct a financial development index for China and to analyze the relationship between the financial sector development index and economic growth.

Design/methodology/approach

This study uses Johansen‐Juselius cointegration approach to determine long run relationship between variables. To determine the strength of causal relationship variance decomposition is used. The stability of coefficient is evaluated through rolling window regression method.

Findings

The results of Johansen‐Juselius cointegration approach confirm long run relationship between financial development index and economic growth. Normalized cointegrating vector indicates that financial development index, real interest rate, capital and labor force positively determine economic growth in China. The yearly coefficient is provided by the rolling regression and indicates that financial development index negatively link to economic growth in 1991, 1992, 1994, 1995, 1999, 2000, 2003‐2005. Interest rate is negatively linked to economic growth in 1991‐1996, 2007 and 2008. The variance decomposition method validates that shocks in financial development index and real interest rate are explained by economic growth.

Originality/value

A financial development index for China is constructed and the relationship between economic growth and financial development is indicated.

Details

Chinese Management Studies, vol. 5 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1750-614X

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Book part
Publication date: 9 November 2023

Michał Bernardelli and Mariusz Próchniak

The comparison between economic growth and the character of monetary policy is one of the most frequently studied issues in policymaking. However, the number of studies…

Abstract

Research Background

The comparison between economic growth and the character of monetary policy is one of the most frequently studied issues in policymaking. However, the number of studies incorporating a dynamic time warping approach to analyse the similarity of macroeconomic variables is relatively small.

The Purpose of the Chapter

The study aims at assessing the mutual similarity among various variables representing the financial sector (including the monetary policy by the central bank) and the real sector (e.g. economic growth, industrial production, household consumption expenditure), as well as cross-similarity between both sectors.

Methodology

The analysis is based on the dynamic time warping (DTW) method, which allows for capturing various dimensions of changes of considered variables. This method is almost non-existent in the literature to compare financial and economic time series. The application of this method constitutes the main area of value added of the research. The analysis includes five variables representing the financial sector and five from the real sector. The study covers four countries: Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Romania and the 2010–2022 period (quarterly data).

Findings

The results show that variables representing the financial sector, including those reflecting monetary policy, are weakly correlated with each other, whereas the variables representing the real economy have a solid mutual similarity. As regards individual variables, for example, GDP fluctuations show relatively substantial similarity to ROE fluctuations – especially in Czechia and Hungary. In the case of Hungary and Romania, CAR fluctuations are consistent with GDP fluctuations. In the case of Poland and Hungary, there is a relatively strong similarity between the economy's monetisation and economic growth. Comparing the individual countries, two clusters of countries can be identified. One cluster includes Poland and Czechia, while another covers Hungary and Romania.

Details

Modeling Economic Growth in Contemporary Poland
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-83753-655-9

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Article
Publication date: 18 March 2019

Rukhsana Kalim, Noman Arshed and Sadaf Shaheen

In the past few years, the concept of competitiveness developed by the World Economic Forum has become the focal point. Global competitiveness index (GCI) presents the constructs…

370

Abstract

Purpose

In the past few years, the concept of competitiveness developed by the World Economic Forum has become the focal point. Global competitiveness index (GCI) presents the constructs which are possible means of productivity of the country. The purpose of this study is to explore whether boosting the productivity of agriculture, services and industry sector is the possible channel of competitiveness leading to growth.

Design/methodology/approach

For this, panel GMM moderator model has been used for 16 low-income countries.

Findings

The results indicate that competitiveness helps agriculture and industry sector to become more growth productive, while it reduces the productivity of services sector.

Originality/value

This study urges that the gains from following the competition promotion policies overweigh the costs. Hence, low-income countries can break the low productivity trap.

Details

Competitiveness Review: An International Business Journal, vol. 29 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1059-5422

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Article
Publication date: 8 April 2020

Ebere Ume Kalu, Uchenna Florence Nwafor, Chinwe R. Okoyeuzu and Vincent A. Onodugo

The purpose of this study is to investigate the energy–growth linkage in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), with emphasis on real sectors’ contribution to aggregate growth using dynamic…

188

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to investigate the energy–growth linkage in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), with emphasis on real sectors’ contribution to aggregate growth using dynamic panel estimation techniques that are practically and conceptually superior to the static models.

Design/methodology/approach

Dynamic panel econometric techniques pooled mean group, mean group and dynamic fixed effect were used to investigate the linkage among energy consumption, real sector value added and economic growth from 1967 to 2016 in 48 SSA countries.

Findings

A strong empirical evidence in favor of energy dependence and growth hypothesis in the investigated SSA countries was found. The finding that real sector value added and overall growth rate adjust reasonably to the shocks and dynamics of the energy consumption variables makes energy consumption an enabler for growth. This indicates that well thought-out and implemented energy development policy will not only increase energy consumption but also elicit multi-sectoral growth while addressing the obvious energy deficiency in the SSA region.

Research limitations/implications

It is also important to note the policy implications of the high adjustment profiles indicated by the error correction representations. All the speeds of adjustment of the three models denominated in time are slightly above a year and are all within predictable limits (they fall below unity or 100%). We found that when agriculture value added, manufacturing value added and overall economic growth rate in our SSA panel estimation exceed equilibrium levels as a result of deviations arising from energy related variables, downward adjustments at 66%, 62% and 78% per year, respectively, take place.

Practical implications

The study indicates that well thought-out and implemented energy development policy will not only increase energy consumption but also elicit multi-sectoral growth while addressing the obvious energy deficiency in the SSA region.

Social implications

Much as this study has made some addition to the literature on energy-growth nexus in the SSA region, which undoubtedly is an unveiling of economic forces in a collection of developing and energy deficient economies, it will be of great research significance if the form and style of this study is adopted for other economic blocs in the shapes and sizes of the SSA region.

Originality/value

This study ensured currency of data, novelty of approach and disaggregated energy consumption into emerging sources, traditional sources and geographical access.

Details

International Journal of Energy Sector Management, vol. 14 no. 5
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1750-6220

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Book part
Publication date: 23 July 2007

Eric Kam

Abstract

Details

Functional Structure Inference
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-0-44453-061-5

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Article
Publication date: 2 August 2013

Raditya Sukmana and Muhammad Kholid

This paper aims to describe, compare and analyze liquidity policies from the central bank of Indonesia, particularly reserve requirements, with respect to Islamic as well as…

1606

Abstract

Purpose

This paper aims to describe, compare and analyze liquidity policies from the central bank of Indonesia, particularly reserve requirements, with respect to Islamic as well as conventional banks.

Design/methodology/approach

This paper provides some critical assessments on the policy applied by the central bank of Indonesia to both Islamic and conventional banks with regards to the reserve requirements applied in the Indonesian banking system. The analysis is based on whether both policies (Islamic and conventional) provide fairness to the banks as well as whether those policies support the real sector. In addition, the current global practice is also briefly described as a justification of the important and relevance of the current study.

Findings

The authors find that the policy imposed on the Islamic banks is designed to boost the real sector, compared to that of conventional banks. For the policy with respect to Islamic banks, it recognizes the banks which have been doing well in their main role as financial intermediaries and “punishes” them when they fail to do so. This policy could not be found in the context of conventional banks.

Practical implications

The authors argue that the current approach used for Islamic banks can also be adopted and imposed on conventional banks. This leads to a more stable financial system, since it supports the real sector.

Originality/value

This paper is the first to analyze central bank policies with respect to banks (Islamic as well as conventional banks) in relation to their role as financial intermediaries.

Details

Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, vol. 5 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1755-4179

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Article
Publication date: 1 April 2019

Ebere Ume Kalu, Pius Bala Daniel, Uchenna Florence Nwafor, Chinwe R. Okoyeuzu, Okoro E.U. Okoro and Elizabeth U. Okechukwu

The main aim of this study was to examine whether any relationship exists between energy consumption and value added of the agricultural and industrial sector as well as the…

268

Abstract

Purpose

The main aim of this study was to examine whether any relationship exists between energy consumption and value added of the agricultural and industrial sector as well as the overall growth rate of the Nigerian economy.

Design/methodology/approach

The study used annualized time series data from 1971 to 2014 drawn from the World Bank Development Indicators, adopting an autoregressive distributed lag technique in the data analyses as well as the bound test and error correction representation.

Findings

There is a very strong evidence of the existence of a long-run relationship between energy consumption and indicators of economic growth. There are very strong proofs that economic growth and agricultural value added adjust to the shocks and dynamics of the studied energy-consumption-related variables while manufacturing value added proved otherwise.

Originality value

No study to the best of our knowledge has brought together aggregate growth, agricultural value added and manufacturing value added in the investigation of the energy consumption and economic growth nexus in one study using the Nigerian stylized economic environment. This represents the value added of this study and shows its originality.

Details

International Journal of Energy Sector Management, vol. 13 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1750-6220

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