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Open Access
Article
Publication date: 28 February 2014

Suhkyong Kim

This study investigates the deviation from put-call parity in the KOSPI200 options market. The sample period is from January 2, 2006 to May 31, 2009. Due to the financial crisis…

25

Abstract

This study investigates the deviation from put-call parity in the KOSPI200 options market. The sample period is from January 2, 2006 to May 31, 2009. Due to the financial crisis in 2008, short sale of stocks had been prohibited from October 1, 2008 to May 31, 2009. The sample is divided into the pre-crisis period and the crisis period. The crisis period is the period during which short sale of stocks are prohibited. The summary statistics shows that the trading volume of KOSPI200 stocks doubled, but the trading volume of call options and that of put options declined to one half and one third from the pre-crisis period to the crisis period, respectively. The equation which relates the deviation of futures price to the deviation of put-call parity is derived and the deviation from put-call parity is analyzed by using two stage least square. This paper looks into not only the prior 60 day return's momentum effect, but also the intraday spot return's momentum effect. Evidence indicates that the intraday momentum does exist in options and stock prices. Empirical results show that the prior 60 day return's momentum effect is statistically insignificant during the pre-crisis period, but statistically significant during the crisis period whereas the intraday return's momentum effect is strongly significant for both of the periods. This result lends support to the argument that the deviation of futures price from its theoretical price is a component of the deviation from put-call parity. The sign and significance of the regression coefficient for momentum effects are consistent with Kim and Park (2011) and Kim (2012) again lending support to the validity of their regression equation. Overall, our results are consistent with the validity of the derived equation, Kim and Park (2011) and Kim (2013)’s rationale.

Details

Journal of Derivatives and Quantitative Studies, vol. 22 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2713-6647

Keywords

Open Access
Article
Publication date: 28 February 2013

Suhkyong Kim

We investigate intraday data for KOSPI 200 index and KOSPI 200 index futures. Hourly theoretical futures prices are calculated based on cost of carry model. we compare hourly…

34

Abstract

We investigate intraday data for KOSPI 200 index and KOSPI 200 index futures. Hourly theoretical futures prices are calculated based on cost of carry model. we compare hourly index futures prices with their theoretical prices. Consistent with a large body of previous researches in this area, we find the persistent deviation of futures prices from their theoretical prices. Futures prices are undervalued relative to their theoretical prices. The data indicate that the difference between futures price and its theoretical price exhibits U-shaped pattern over the trading hours. The differences are higher at open and at 15:00 and are lower over intraday trading hours, implying that previous studies using daily closing prices overstate this mispricing.

We also examine the effect of intraday spot return on the behavior of the difference between the hourly futures price and its theoretical price. The finding indicates that the intraday momentum generates U-shaped pattern of this mispricing. This contrasts with Kim and Park (2011)'s finding that the difference also increases as the prior 60 day spot return increases. Our finding invalidates their explanation the activities of arbitrageurs bring monotonic increasing pattern of the magnitude of this mispricing in their daily data.

We propose a new explanation the U shaped patttern of the difference between the futures price and its theoretical price generated by the intraday spot return's moment. We introduce risk-seeking trader in our new explanation. The trader's risk-seeking behavior is based on prospect theory (Kahneman and Tversky (1979)). We argue that the risk-seeking traders cause intraday momentum effect to generate the U-shaped pattern of this mispricing. We add speculator's variables to Kim and Park (2011)'s regression equation and estimate it. The results from the regression analysis lend support to our new explanation as well as theirs, implying that speculators and arbitrageurs are present and active in the spot and futures markets and generate different pattern of the mispricing.

Details

Journal of Derivatives and Quantitative Studies, vol. 21 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2713-6647

Keywords

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