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Article
Publication date: 24 September 2024

Rihab Bousnina and Foued Badr Gabsi

In this article, we assess the impact of inflation on the current account balance in the case of Tunisia, covering the period 1976–2022.

Abstract

Purpose

In this article, we assess the impact of inflation on the current account balance in the case of Tunisia, covering the period 1976–2022.

Design/methodology/approach

The study utilizes a threshold regression approach proposed by Hansen (2001) in a bid to identify inflation threshold values.

Findings

The results show two inflation threshold values (3.87% and 8.41%), which determine three inflation regimes in the case of Tunisia. In lower inflation regimes, inflation has a positive and statistically significant impact on the current account balance. However, in higher inflation regimes, where inflation rates exceed 3.87%, there is a negative and statistically significant correlation with the current account balance, resulting in a deficit.

Originality/value

The research suggests the need for a new policy approach that considers these threshold levels to address high inflation rates, which currently stand at approximately 11%, and aims to restore them to the targeted rate of 4%. This necessitates coordinated monetary and fiscal measures.

Details

African Journal of Economic and Management Studies, vol. ahead-of-print no. ahead-of-print
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2040-0705

Keywords

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