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1 – 5 of 5Khemaies Bougatef, Mohamed Sahbi Nakhli and Othman Mnari
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationship between Islamic banking and industrial production by decomposing Islamic financing (IF) into profit and loss sharing…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationship between Islamic banking and industrial production by decomposing Islamic financing (IF) into profit and loss sharing (PLS) and non-profit and loss sharing (non-PLS) modes of financing.
Design/methodology/approach
This paper applies the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach and Toda and Yamamoto causality test on the monthly data set for Malaysia from 2010M1 to 2018M6.
Findings
The results reveal that IF plays an important role in boosting industrial production in the short run, as well as in the long run. Moreover, this positive effect mainly comes from non-PLS financing. In contrast, no significant relationship was found between PLS financing and industrial development neither in the short run nor in the long run.
Practical implications
The results have several policy implications. The existence of a time lag between the pooling of funds through PLS contracts and their channeling to industrial activities imply that Malaysian Islamic banks should maintain a long-term relationship with investment account holders. In addition, Islamic banks are called to increase the portion of PLS financing. The positive relationship between the industrial production index and IF (through non-PLS techniques) in the short and the long runs implies that policymakers in Malaysia should multiply their efforts to further expand the Islamic banking industry.
Originality/value
The originality of this study lies in decomposing Islamic banks’ financing into PLS financing (muḍārabah and mushārakah) and non-PLS financing to assess the contribution of each mode of financing in industrial development.
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Brahim Gaies, Mohamed Sahbi Nakhli and Nadia Arfaoui
The purpose of this paper is to analyse the dynamic and evolving relationship between Bitcoin mining (BTC) and climate policy uncertainty. By using the newly developed U.S…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to analyse the dynamic and evolving relationship between Bitcoin mining (BTC) and climate policy uncertainty. By using the newly developed U.S. Climate Policy Uncertainty (CPU) indicator by Gavriilidis (2021) as a proxy for global climate-related transition risk, this study aims to explore the complex bidirectional causality between these two critical phenomena in climate-related finance. Further, we explore how economic and market factors influence the cryptocurrency market, focusing on the relationship between CPU and Bitcoin mining.
Design/methodology/approach
We employ a linear and non-linear rolling window sub-sample Granger causality approach combined with a probit model to examine the time-varying causalities between Bitcoin mining and the U.S. Climate Policy Uncertainty (CPU) indicator. This method captures asymmetric effects and dynamic interactions that are often missed by linear and static models. It also allows for the endogenous determination of key drivers in the BTC–CPU nexus, ensuring that the results are not influenced by ad-hoc assumptions but are instead grounded in the data’s inherent properties.
Findings
The findings indicate that Bitcoin mining is negatively impacted by climate policy uncertainty during periods of increased environmental concern, while its energy-intensive nature contributes to increasing climate policy uncertainty. In addition to market factors, such as Bitcoin halving, and alternative assets, such as green equity, five main macroeconomic factors influence these relationships: financial instability, economic policy uncertainty, rising oil prices and increasing industrial production. Furthermore, two non-linear dynamics in the relationship between climate policy uncertainty and Bitcoin (CPU-BTC nexus) are identified: the “anticipatory regulatory decline effect”, when miners boost activity ahead of expected regulatory changes, but this increase is unsustainable due to stricter regulations, compliance costs, investor scrutiny and reputational risks linked to high energy use.
Originality/value
This study is the first in the literature to examine the time-varying and asymmetric relationships between Bitcoin mining and climate policy uncertainty, aspects often overlooked by static causality and average-based coefficient models used in previous research. It uncovers two previously unidentified non-linear effects in the BTC-CPU nexus: the “anticipatory regulatory decline effect” and the “mining-driven regulatory surge”, and identifies major market factors macro-determinants of this nexus. The implications are substantial, aiding policymakers in formulating effective regulatory frameworks, helping investors develop more sustainable investment strategies and enabling industry stakeholders to better manage the environmental challenges facing the Bitcoin mining sector.
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Amal Ghedira and Mohamed Sahbi Nakhli
This study aims to examine the dynamic bidirectional causality between oil price (OIL) and stock market indexes in net oil-exporting (Russia) and net oil-importing (China…
Abstract
Purpose
This study aims to examine the dynamic bidirectional causality between oil price (OIL) and stock market indexes in net oil-exporting (Russia) and net oil-importing (China) countries.
Design/methodology/approach
The authors use monthly data for the period starting from October 1995 to October 2021. In this study, the bootstrap rolling-window Granger causality approach introduced by Balcilar et al. (2010) and the probit regression model are performed in order to identify the bidirectional causality.
Findings
The results show that the causal periods mainly occur during economic, financial and health crises. For oil-exporting country, the results suggest that any increase (decrease) in the OIL leads to an appreciation (depreciation) in the stock market index. The effect of the stock market on OIL is more relevant for the oil-importing country than that for the oil-exporting one. The COVID-19 consequences are demonstrated in the impact of oil on the Russian stock market. The probit regression shows that the US financial instabilities increase the probability of causality between OIL and stock market indexes in Russia and China.
Practical implications
The dynamic relationship between the variables must be taken into account in investment decisions. As financial instabilities in the USA drive the relationship between oil and stocks, investors should consider geopolitical, economic and financial elements when constructing their portfolios. Shareholders are required to include other assets in their portfolios since oil–stock relationship is highly risky.
Originality/value
This study provides further evidence of the bidirectional oil–stock causal link. Additionally, it examines the impact of financial instabilities on the probability that the OIL and the stock market index cause each other through the Granger effect.
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Mohamed Sahbi Nakhli and Lotfi Belkacem
The purpose of this paper is to test the performance of momentum strategies and identify the sources of their profits.
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to test the performance of momentum strategies and identify the sources of their profits.
Design/methodology/approach
To identify the main source of momentum profits, first, the bootstrap method with replacement was used. Then, to eliminate the existence of the small sample bias, the bootstrap method without replacement and the block bootstrap method were employed. In this case, when the authors draw the observations without replacement the random effect is reduced, whereas the resampling procedure is based on the random draw.
Findings
The empirical results show the existence of a small sample bias in the bootstrap method with replacement, and that the time‐series relations of stock returns are the main source of momentum profits.
Originality/value
To ensure the random effect of the draws, the authors develop a new resampling procedure called the mixed bootstrap method.
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