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1 – 2 of 2Michele Bagella, Leonardo Becchetti and Massimo Lo Cicero
Describes the research methodology used by EEC team studying anti‐money laundering legislation in the five Andean Pact member states: Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru and…
Abstract
Describes the research methodology used by EEC team studying anti‐money laundering legislation in the five Andean Pact member states: Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru and Venezuela. Focuses on the cooperation between the EEC Central Research Unit and the Local Research Units in the five countries, and why the 40 Recommendations of the Financial Action Task Force (FATF( were chosen as the benchmark for the investigation. Illustrates the results of the comparative analysis of anti‐money laundering legislation in the five countries. Analyses responses to a questionnaire about the main money laundering channels in each country and whether this relates to inadequate compliance to FATF legislation. Measures the impact of uneven FATF compliance in the Andean countries on their excess money balances.
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Keywords
To propose a new methodology to infer the risk‐neutral default probability curve of a generic firm XYZ from equity options prices.
Abstract
Purpose
To propose a new methodology to infer the risk‐neutral default probability curve of a generic firm XYZ from equity options prices.
Design/methodology/approach
It is assumed that the market is arbitrage‐free and the “market” probability measure implied in the equity options prices to the pricing of credit risky assets is applied. First, the equity probability density function of XYZ is inferred from a set of quoted equity options with different strikes and maturities. This function is then transformed into the probability density function of the XYZ assets and the term structure of the “option implied” XYZ default probabilities is calculated. These default probabilities can be used to price corporate bonds and, more generally, single‐name credit derivatives as “exotic” equity derivatives.
Findings
Equity derivatives and credit derivatives have ultimately the same (unobservable) underlying, the XYZ assets value. A model that considers any security issued by XYZ as derivatives on the firm's assets can be used to price these securities in a consistent way to each other and/or detect relative/value opportunities.
Originality/value
The paper offers both a pricing tool for traded single‐name credit risky assets or a relative value tool in liquid markets.
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