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This study demonstrates the contemporaneous correlation between return and the change of trading volume (CCRV) in the Korean stock market and analyzes the effect of trading volume change on the return and its volatility of individual stocks. Also, we examine the underlying reasons for CCRV in the Korean stock market. The empirical analysis covers individual stocks listed in KOSPI and KOSDAQ and their portfolios from 1989 to 2015. The main results are as follows. First, the CCRV in the Korean stock market dominantly appears positive. Second, at the individual stock level, the daily return volatility induced by CCRV accounts for 4.22% of the total daily return volatility. Third, the return volatility induced by CCRV is largely offset by well-diversified portfolios. Lastly, the ratio of positive CCRV decreases in stocks with very high or very low liquidity. The above result suggests that the illiquidity premium hypothesis is appropriate in explaining CCRV in the Korean stock market. In addition, the above results also indicate that the changes of trading volume can act as an idiosyncratic risk factor that can additionally intensify or weaken the response of the return toward the news. Furthermore, these results suggest that a strategy with sufficient consideration for CCRV is essential for the stock price prediction, the valuation of derivatives, and portfolio management.

This study aims to analyze the effect of change in trading volume on the short-term mean reversion of the stock price in the Korean stock market. Through the variance ratio test, this paper finds that the market shows the mean reversion pattern after 2000, but not before. This study also confirms that the mean reversion property is significantly reduced if the effect of change in trading volume is excluded from the return of a stock with a significant contemporaneous correlation between return and change in trading volume in the post-2000 market. The results appear in both the Korea Composite Stock Price Index and Korea Securities Dealers Automated Quotation. This phenomenon stems from the significance of the return response to change in trading volume per se and not the sign of the response. Additionally, the findings imply that the trading volume has a term structure because of the mean reversion of the trading volume and the return also has a partial term structure because of the contemporaneous correlation between return and change in trading volume. This conclusion suggests that considering the short-term impact of change in trading volume enables a more efficient observation of the market and avoidance of asset misallocation.