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Article
Publication date: 30 March 2021

John Ratcliffe

This paper aims to explore the case for the radical reform of land policy worldwide. It does so, however, in the context of present problems posed by the prevailing coronavirus…

394

Abstract

Purpose

This paper aims to explore the case for the radical reform of land policy worldwide. It does so, however, in the context of present problems posed by the prevailing coronavirus pandemic. It is a strategic study, not a scientific analysis and is oriented towards the field of the built environment in general and the real estate industry in particular.

Design/methodology/approach

Although it draws on concepts of land management long extolled and covers concerns currently circulating about the prospects for urban planning and property development post-pandemic, the synthesis is original.

Findings

The concluding counsel is that land policy reform, being a component factor of so much of society's endeavours, should figure far more prominently across the political platforms of the world.

Practical implications

Most of the material regarding the “Great Land Question” is based on findings from countless strategic foresight studies conducted by the author over the past 25 years and re-assessed in light of the pandemic. If correct, the practical implications will be significant.

Originality/value

This is a review of existing models.

Details

Journal of Property Investment & Finance, vol. 40 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1463-578X

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Article
Publication date: 1 February 2002

John Ratcliffe

The future cannot be measured. foresight is largely a matter of conjecture, and at the heart of conjecture lies conversation. Organizations are essentially networks of personal…

5074

Abstract

The future cannot be measured. foresight is largely a matter of conjecture, and at the heart of conjecture lies conversation. Organizations are essentially networks of personal interconnections based on conversation. Thus, in enabling complex adaptive organizations to look ahead, conversation, in one form or another, becomes a key component of strategic planning. This article describes the range of interview methods from structured to more active and creative methods and the emergence of “the strategic conversation”. The use of this technique is illustrated by examples.

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Foresight, vol. 4 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1463-6689

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Article
Publication date: 9 July 2020

John Ratcliffe

The study aims to discuss the role of strategic foresight in determining and mapping possible property futures. In particular, the briefing will explore the importance of…

328

Abstract

Purpose

The study aims to discuss the role of strategic foresight in determining and mapping possible property futures. In particular, the briefing will explore the importance of determining alternative futures and creating scenarios to help determine a flexible and adaptable strategy.

Design/methodology/approach

This education briefing is an overview of property futures and strategic foresight.

Findings

This is an education briefing of existing knowledge.

Practical implications

Strategic foresight provides a framework and structure by identifying a focal point that looks at alternative futures and a preferred future that feed into the implementation of a strategic plan.

Originality/value

This is a review of existing models.

Details

Journal of Property Investment & Finance, vol. 38 no. 5
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1463-578X

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 12 June 2020

That investigation is the root of Presidential Donald Trump's distrust of the Intelligence Community (IC), which comprises 17 agencies and provides vital support to executive…

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB253235

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Article
Publication date: 7 March 2008

Jerry H. Ratcliffe and Ray Guidetti

Purpose – This paper aims to provide an overview of organizational changes in the New Jersey State Police (NJSP) Investigations Branch and how the Branch has adapted to the…

5428

Abstract

Purpose – This paper aims to provide an overview of organizational changes in the New Jersey State Police (NJSP) Investigations Branch and how the Branch has adapted to the paradigm of intelligence‐led policing. The paper also reports on interviews conducted to assess the impact on key staff affected by the change, through the medium of a drug‐gang investigation, Operation Nine Connect. Design/methodology/approach – Both semi‐structured and less formal interviews were conducted with 20 detectives, intelligence analysts and managers. Extensive quotes are employed to demonstrate key points. Furthermore, content analysis of documents related to organizational change in the NJSP and to a large drug‐gang intelligence operation was conducted. Findings – The paper identifies the key tenets of intelligence‐led policing, and describes progress made both organizationally and culturally to move the Investigations Branch to an intelligence‐led policing mindset. Organizational successes were reported, but more limited success was achieved in relation to changing police culture. Practical implications – The paper clarifies the meaning of intelligence‐led policing, and identifies potential road‐blocks to implementation for police departments wishing to move to intelligence‐led policing. Originality/value – The paper identifies the key tenets of intelligence‐led policing, outlines how these were used to determine greater geographic focus in the organizational structure of the New Jersey State Police Investigations Branch, and is a rare examination of the internal workings of a state police investigations branch in relation to a drug‐gang investigation. The paper will be of interest to police executives and managers, and intelligence professionals.

Details

Policing: An International Journal of Police Strategies & Management, vol. 31 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1363-951X

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Article
Publication date: 31 October 2008

Ruth Saurin, John Ratcliffe and Marie Puybaraud

The changes now being experienced in the workplace, driven by market pressures, changing demographics and new technologies, are real and accelerating. Since change remains the one…

2651

Abstract

Purpose

The changes now being experienced in the workplace, driven by market pressures, changing demographics and new technologies, are real and accelerating. Since change remains the one constant when it comes to workplace planning, further transformations within the workplace over the next 20 or 30 years can be expected. Hence, this paper aims to demonstrate how to use a scenario planning futures approach in a changing, complex and uncertain workplace environment. As well as provoke thought and discussion about its long‐term future.

Design/methodology/approach

At the Futures Academy in Dublin Institute of Technology, a systematic methodology for exploring and shaping the future has been developed, called the “Prospective through scenario” process. Each stage of the process is discussed in detail throughout this paper, as well as how the process is applied in the Johnson Controls workplace of the future study.

Findings

The creative “futures studies” approach can deal effectively with change, uncertainty and complexity in the workplace environment, by allowing those concerned to think, plan and act proactively rather than reactively as well as provide effective facilities management and real estate strategies.

Practical implications

Real estate organisations need to take the long view, for the greatest risk of our time is being overtaken by inevitable surprises that could have been foreseen and for which we could have been prepared.

Originality/value

Discussion and debate about the future of the workplace is inevitable and futures tools and techniques can facilitate this process.

Details

Journal of Corporate Real Estate, vol. 10 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1463-001X

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Article
Publication date: 19 July 2011

Ruth Saurin and John Ratcliffe

This paper aims to demonstrate that it is important to have a methodological process that is reflexive and flexible to achieve fluid interactions that add rigour and energy to the

1687

Abstract

Purpose

This paper aims to demonstrate that it is important to have a methodological process that is reflexive and flexible to achieve fluid interactions that add rigour and energy to the overall process of a built environment project.

Design/methodology/approach

This paper outlines the Prospective through Scenarios futures process used in a study called the “Workplace of the Future”. It also discusses how and why the methodology evolves over the course of the project with participant feedback as the main source of information for the analysis.

Findings

Change is the one factor in the Prospective through Scenarios methodological development that ensures the participants to think deeply and laterally in a futures process, from which a value‐driven process is achieved.

Originality/value

Novel futures techniques have been applied to a discipline that is usually reactive and quantitative – workplace provision and facilities management.

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Article
Publication date: 1 February 1983

JOHN RATCLIFFE

Part one of this article appeared in Journal of Valuation Volume 1 Number 1 at page 24. Part three, to be published in Journal of Valuation Volume 1 Number 3, will illustrate in…

336

Abstract

Part one of this article appeared in Journal of Valuation Volume 1 Number 1 at page 24. Part three, to be published in Journal of Valuation Volume 1 Number 3, will illustrate in specimen appraisals and valuations the points raised in the first two parts.

Details

Journal of Valuation, vol. 1 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0263-7480

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Article
Publication date: 1 April 2004

Ruth Kelly, Lorcan Sirr and John Ratcliffe

We are living in times of unprecedented global change and upheaval and over the next ten to 20 years governments, organisations and individuals will face increasing difficulties…

2650

Abstract

We are living in times of unprecedented global change and upheaval and over the next ten to 20 years governments, organisations and individuals will face increasing difficulties in an environment of growing complexity, heightened uncertainty and a quickening pace of change. The concept of sustainable development implies the reconciliation of long‐term socio‐economic development, environmental protection and quality of life; essentially it is concerned with the future. Unfortunately, the potential for linking “futures thinking” to debates about sustainable development at local and regional government levels is relatively undeveloped, particularly in Ireland. Responding to this challenge, The Futures Academy at Dublin Institute of Technology, Ireland, was established in January 2003 to provide both a research and consultancy forum for future‐proofing policies and strategies using the “prospective through scenarios” methodology. This paper describes the evolution of sustainable development in Ireland and the generic field of futures thinking, with particular focus on the prospective process which may assist key local policy makers and stakeholders move towards sustainable development for future generations in Ireland.

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Foresight, vol. 6 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1463-6689

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Article
Publication date: 1 October 2001

John Ratcliffe

This paper reports the progress of, and results from, a major foresight and scenario planning exercise concerned with the future of real estate. The project first explored the…

440

Abstract

This paper reports the progress of, and results from, a major foresight and scenario planning exercise concerned with the future of real estate. The project first explored the general climate of change within which real estate decisions will have to be made. It then identified specific real estate opportunities and tested alternative strategies which might emerge as a result of that change. A further objective was to verify the use of foresight through scenario planning as a credible method of fostering a learning culture within the property professions and helping in the future proofing of current decision making.

Details

Foresight, vol. 3 no. 5
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1463-6689

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