J. Christopher Hughen and Peter P. Lung
Student-managed investment funds typically pursue “plain vanilla” objectives. The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate the value of adding option strategies to reduce the risk…
Abstract
Purpose
Student-managed investment funds typically pursue “plain vanilla” objectives. The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate the value of adding option strategies to reduce the risk of equity positions around earnings announcements. The collar strategy is one such technique with the advantages of a low net cost and limited potential losses.
Design/methodology/approach
The authors provide recommendations for utilizing the collar strategy around earnings announcements. The authors also discuss how the value of this strategy is related to the literature on option pricing and earnings announcement returns.
Findings
Risk management strategies can enhance the pedagogical value of student-managed investment funds. The authors document how students have successfully utilized the collar strategy to immunize risk.
Originality/value
The collar strategy can enhance the pedagogical value of student-managed investment classes in several ways. First, students learn how to implement risk reduction strategies. Second, the proper implementation of these strategies requires students to learn the complex mechanisms associated with corporate earnings dissemination and analyst coverage. This also provides an opportunity to study earnings drift, which is a persistent and economically significant financial anomaly.
Details
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Scott B. Beyer, J. Christopher Hughen and Robert A. Kunkel
The authors examine the relation between noise trading in equity markets and stochastic volatility by estimating a two-factor jump diffusion model. Their analysis shows that…
Abstract
Purpose
The authors examine the relation between noise trading in equity markets and stochastic volatility by estimating a two-factor jump diffusion model. Their analysis shows that contemporaneous price deviations in the derivatives market are statistically significant in explaining movements in index futures prices and option-market volatility measures.
Design/methodology/approach
To understand the impact noise may have in the S&P 500 derivatives market, the authors first measure and evaluate the influence noise exerts on futures prices and then investigate its influence on option volatility.
Findings
In the period from 1996 to 2003, this study finds significant changes in the volatility and mean reversion in the noise level and a significant increase in its relation to implied volatility in option prices. The results are consistent with a bubble in technology stocks that occurred with significant increases in noise trading.
Research limitations/implications
This study provides estimates for this model during the periods preceding and during the technology bubble. The study analysis shows that the volatility and mean reversion in the noise level are much stronger during the bubble period. Furthermore, the relation between noise trading and implied volatility in the futures market was of a significantly larger magnitude during this period. The study results support the importance of noise trading in market bubbles.
Practical implications
Bloomfield, O'Hara and Saar (2009) find that noise traders lower bid–ask spreads and improve liquidity through increases in trading volume and market depth. Such improved market conditions could have positive effects on market quality, and this impact could be evidenced by lower implied volatility when noise traders are more active. Indeed, the results in this study indicate that the level and characteristics of noise trading are fundamentally different during the technology bubble, and this noise trading activity has a larger impact during this period on implied volatility in the options market.
Originality/value
This paper uniquely analyzes derivatives on the S&P 500 Index in order to detect the presence and influence of noise traders. The authors derive and implement a two-factor jump diffusion noise model. In their model, noise rectifies the difference of analysts' opinions, market information and beliefs among traders. By incorporating a reduced-form temporal expression of heterogeneities among traders, the model is rich enough to capture salient time-series characteristics of equity prices (i.e. stochastic volatility and jumps). A singular feature of the authors’ model is that stochastic volatility represents the random movements in asset prices that are attributed to nonmarket fundamentals.
Unlike closed‐end country funds that usually trade at large premiums to the values of their portfolios, exchange‐traded funds facilitate arbitrage to prevent their prices from…
Abstract
Unlike closed‐end country funds that usually trade at large premiums to the values of their portfolios, exchange‐traded funds facilitate arbitrage to prevent their prices from deviating from their underlying values. However, such arbitrage can involve significant transaction costs, which have caused some to question the ability of this arbitrage to reduce premiums. This study examines the premiums on the iShares Malaysia Fund, which is the only exchange‐traded fund that has experienced an extended suspension of arbitrage. The results illustrate the importance of arbitrage in providing the full benefits of international diversification associated with exchange‐traded funds that invest in foreign securities.
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J. Christopher Hughen and Scott Beyer
In the increasingly globalized economy, foreign exchange fluctuations have multiple, conflicting effects on domestic stock prices. The purpose of this paper is to examine return…
Abstract
Purpose
In the increasingly globalized economy, foreign exchange fluctuations have multiple, conflicting effects on domestic stock prices. The purpose of this paper is to examine return data to determine the relation between the dollar’s value and stock prices as it relates to monetary policy.
Design/methodology/approach
The authors examine US stock returns over a 40-year period, which is classified according to monetary policy and dollar trend. To better understand the impact of foreign exchange fluctuations, the authors estimate a model of stock returns using the three Fama-French factors and a momentum factor. Then the authors explore the underlying economic fundamentals that drive the sharp difference in annual returns between periods when the dollar is in an uptrend trend with loose monetary policy and periods when the dollar is in a downtrend with tight monetary policy.
Findings
Over the last 40 years, US stock returns were 2.5 times higher when the dollar was trending up vs down. The factor model of returns shows that equity returns are positively associated with periods when the dollar appreciated. Returns were particularly high when the dollar was in an uptrend during accommodative monetary policy. During these periods, stocks in the consumer goods and services industries provided relatively high returns. This occurred with strong economic growth due to consumer spending. Stocks exhibited the lowest returns when the dollar was depreciating and the Federal Reserve was tightening.
Originality/value
The key contribution of the research is that currency trends should be analyzed in the light of monetary policy. During periods of accommodative monetary policy and dollar appreciation, the US stock market provided average returns of 18.7 percent compared to −3.29 percent during a period of restrictive monetary policy and dollar depreciation. This result is driven by stronger economic growth, which is composed of consumer spending that more than offsets the dollar’s impact on net exports.