G.A. Karathanassis and S.N. Spilioti
Early theoretical work on equity valuation suggests that equity prices are determined by variables such as dividends and growth in dividends. However, these “traditional” views…
Abstract
Early theoretical work on equity valuation suggests that equity prices are determined by variables such as dividends and growth in dividends. However, these “traditional” views have been challenged by recent studies that seem to indicate that equity prices are determined by book value and discounted future abnormal earnings. This paper employs panel data methodology and equity prices from Athens Stock Exchange empirically to compare the performance of the traditional and the more recent models of equity valuation. The results show that the performance of the Ohlosn (1995) model is quite similar to that of the traditional models even though in some cases Ohlson’s model performance appears to be superior.
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George Karathanassis, Nikolaos Philippas, Efthymios G. Tsionas and Demosthenes Hevas
In this paper we investigate the influence of institutional investors on share prices using data from companies quoted on the Athens Stock Exchange. For finance theorists the…
Abstract
In this paper we investigate the influence of institutional investors on share prices using data from companies quoted on the Athens Stock Exchange. For finance theorists the value of an investment, real or financial, is a function of its expected benefits and the riskiness of these benefits. Whatever influences are exerted by the structure of equity ownership are diversified away by efficient risk‐averse investors. Managerial and agency theorists argue that the particular ownership structure may have an effect on share value or returns. Their arguments are based (mainly) on the consequences of the separation of ownership from control. In addition to traditional methods of estimation we have used Chamberlain’s (1982) multivariate panel data estimator, which allows for arbitrary patterns of error autocorrelation and parameter temporal behavior. Among all alternative methods of estimation used, only this one produced a statistically significant and econometrically well specified relationship between share prices and institutional shareholdings.
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The paper compares the Net Present Value and the Internal Rate of Return Methods paying particular attention to Mutually Exclusive Projects. In addition it looks into the…
Abstract
The paper compares the Net Present Value and the Internal Rate of Return Methods paying particular attention to Mutually Exclusive Projects. In addition it looks into the reinvestment rate assumption concept. Using a different approach to those used to‐date, it is shown that the reinvestment assumption should not concern analysts, provided they use the Net Present Value Method.
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G. Karathanassis, C. Patsos and M. Glezakos
Outlines the special characteristics of the Athens stock exchange which may cause misspecification in the simple market model and make Dimson type models more appropriate. Refers…
Abstract
Outlines the special characteristics of the Athens stock exchange which may cause misspecification in the simple market model and make Dimson type models more appropriate. Refers to previous research on then and nonsynchronous trading, discusses the methodological issues involved and applies both simple and Dimson type models to 1993‐1997 data for 22 Greek shares. Finds the latter “in many ways more useful” than the simple model, summarizes the main conclusions and suggests that they may be particularly suited to emerging markets in bullish periods.
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Abdelmohsen M. Desoky and Gehan A. Mousa
The paper aims to empirically investigate the influence of ownership concentration and identity on firm performance using a sample of 99 of the most active publicly listed…
Abstract
Purpose
The paper aims to empirically investigate the influence of ownership concentration and identity on firm performance using a sample of 99 of the most active publicly listed companies on the Egyptian Exchange (EGX).
Design/methodology/approach
Firm performance of the sampled companies was measured by two different accounting measures, namely return on assets “ROA”, return on equity “ROE”, then the ordinary least square (OLS) regression analysis and the two‐stage least square (2SLS) regression analysis were employed.
Findings
OLS and 2SLS regression analyses show that ownership concentration has significant impact on firm performance when measuring by ROE. Regarding ownership identity, OLS regression analyses by both ROA and ROE show that the overall ownership identity has a significant impact on firm performance, as well as particular types of investors such as funds. Further, ownership identity and firm performance (when measured by ROA) had a significant endogeneity problem supporting the use of 2SLS as an effective analysis tool for such investigation.
Research limitations/implications
Findings of such research may not be generalizable to different countries at different stages of development, or with different business environments and cultures. Also, the sampled companies, 99 Egyptian companies, may be a small number which needs to be extended in a future research.
Originality/value
This paper provides an empirical investigation on the association between ownership structure and firm performance in the Egyptian context. It examines the role played by two aspects of ownership structure: the fraction of shares owned by the three largest shareholding interests (ownership concentration) and the fraction of shares owned by different type of shareholders (ownership identity) including seven separate groups of owners.
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Day‐Yang Liu, Kuo‐An Tseng and Szu‐Wei Yen
The purpose of this paper is to examine the validity of the Ohlson model and to explore the influence of intellectual capital (IC) on corporate value (V) and value creation (VC…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to examine the validity of the Ohlson model and to explore the influence of intellectual capital (IC) on corporate value (V) and value creation (VC) in order to develop a business valuation model served as the managerial criterion of IC.
Design/methodology/approach
Hypotheses are based on current research on the Ohlson model and IC. Descriptive statistics are used to find the data patterns. Information content and incremental information provided by various capital sources are validated through multiple and stepwise regression.
Findings
Corporate value is measured by both IC and financial capital (FC). The Ohlson model with FC reveals information that is significant in corporate value. Besides, FC and IC – mainly, innovation and human capital – contains a great deal of incremental information in terms of V and VC.
Research limitations/implications
In addition to financial statement, IC must be taken into account when intending to do business valuation.
Practical implications
To create higher corporate value, corporations must actively place a high premium on their IC and manage it well, particularly for innovation and human capital.
Originality/value
This paper focuses on the information technology industry in Taiwan. It, respectively, uses the share price and price and book value models to represent V and VC. It cites the more complete four aspects of IC, which are referred to as “other information”, to combine IC and the Ohlson model.
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George Karathanasis, Vasilios Sogiakas and Kenellos Toudas
Nowadays, a very interesting issue that matters both to academics and practitioners is the necessity and/or the usefulness of financial market regulation. This topic has many…
Abstract
Purpose
Nowadays, a very interesting issue that matters both to academics and practitioners is the necessity and/or the usefulness of financial market regulation. This topic has many alternative dimensions, one of which concerns the derivative listing process. The main objective of the derivative's market regulatory authorities is the profitability of its members and the good performance of the exchange. The purpose of this paper is to investigate empirically the specific criteria that have governed the regulation process with respect to the derivative listing in the Athens Derivatives Exchange (ADEX).
Design/methodology/approach
The econometric part of the paper consists of two steps. The first step, deals with the estimation of the volatility, the default probability and the corporate governance provision index for each candidate firm. The second step consists of the utilization of a logit regression for the determination of the regressors and their significance in explaining which firms should be included into the derivatives and non‐derivatives groups. This analysis is extended through a rolling window technique that captures the time varying characteristics of the estimated coefficients of the derivatives listing strategy implemented by the ADEX.
Findings
According to the empirical findings, the ADEX's regulatory authorities have considered mainly the corresponding firms' capitalization while the creditworthiness and the managerial characteristics of the candidates have been adopted only partially.
Originality/value
To the best of the authors' knowledge, the existing literature is confined to US markets and nothing has been done with respect to European Derivatives Markets. This paper investigates the Greek case, the Athens Derivatives Exchange. In addition to the factors investigated by Mayhew and Mihov and Jennings and Starks, the authors have extended their analysis to include such factors as creditworthiness and managerial characteristics of firms.
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Nikolaos G. Theriou, Vassilios P. Aggelidis, Dimitrios I. Maditinos and Željko Šević
The purpose of this paper is to examine the relationship between beta and returns in the Athens stock exchange (ASE), taking into account the difference between positive and…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to examine the relationship between beta and returns in the Athens stock exchange (ASE), taking into account the difference between positive and negative market excess returns' yields.
Design/methodology/approach
The data were taken from DataStream database and the sample period consists of 12 years divided into four six‐year periods such that the test periods do not overlap. Regression analysis is applied, using both the traditional (unconditional) test procedure and the conditional approach.
Findings
The estimation of return and beta without differentiating positive and negative market excess returns produces a flat unconditional relationship between return and beta. However, when using the conditional capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and cross‐sectional regression analysis, the evidence tends to support the significant positive relationship in up market and a significant negative relationship in down market.
Research limitations/implications
The small number of listed companies in the ASE led to the inclusion of the financial and insurance companies in the sample, and to the formation of a small number of portfolios. The same research methodology could be applied to individual stocks of the ASE and with the exclusion of all financial companies.
Originality/value
The results tend to support the existence of a conditional CAPM relation between risk and realized return trade‐off.
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Petros Messis and Achilleas Zapranis
– This study aims to investigate the existence of herding in the Athens Stock Exchange over the 1995-2010 period and examine its effects on market volatility.
Abstract
Purpose
This study aims to investigate the existence of herding in the Athens Stock Exchange over the 1995-2010 period and examine its effects on market volatility.
Design/methodology/approach
Herding is examined over portfolios formed on beta and size of the selected stocks. The detection of herding has been done using the state space model of Hwang and Salmon (2004). Four volatility measures are employed.
Findings
The findings depict the presence of herding over two different periods of time. Large differences are observed among the portfolios regarding the herding periods. The results confirm a linear effect of herding on all volatility measures considered. Stocks exhibiting higher levels of herding or adverse herding will also present higher volatility, and from this point of view, herding can be regarded as an additional risk factor.
Originality/value
The fact that herding is considered to be an additional risk factor, can lead market participants and investors to a better understanding of market risk, asset pricing and asset allocation.
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Ken-Yien Leong, Mohamed Ariff, Zarei Alireza and M. Ishaq Bhatti
The objective of this paper is to investigate the validity of stock valuation theories and their forecasting ability by conducting an empirical study. It employs four most…
Abstract
Purpose
The objective of this paper is to investigate the validity of stock valuation theories and their forecasting ability by conducting an empirical study. It employs four most commonly used theories which are then tested using 19-year banking-firm market data. The usefulness of these models demonstrates with promising results.
Design/methodology/approach
This paper conducts a multi-country study using the multi-model testing approach to evaluate validity of theories and forecast accuracy of banking firms. It employs four methodology models used in finance literature; (1) P/E multiples model, (2) accounting-information-based clean surplus model, (3) theoretical model based on Gordon and Shapiro (1956) method and (4) the Damodaran-Kottler Free Cash Flow or FCF theory based on discounting model.
Findings
The tests show that the four theories under tests have a significant fit with actual price formation. The explained variation ranges from 72 to 92%, so the explanatory power of the theories accounting for variations in bank prices over 19-year period is substantial. The models fit suggest that the P/E model has superior predictive power followed by the RIM, DDM and FCFE. These findings shed new lights on the relative performance of valuation models.
Research limitations/implications
The study is limited in terms of the sample period size for 1999–2019. The availability of essential financial data prior to 2000 is very limited, so one can understand interpretation of statistical results under certain assumptions.
Practical implications
The paper suggests that one-factor model is better than the two-factor model.
Originality/value
The work done in this paper is unpublished and original contribution to banking and finance literature and also not under consideration for publication in any other journal.