Search results

1 – 5 of 5
Per page
102050
Citations:
Loading...
Access Restricted. View access options
Article
Publication date: 14 October 2019

Zafar Hayat, Jameel Ahmed and Faruk Balli

The conventional and new inflation bias theories present two distinct facets to explain the outcome of excess inflation without output gains by a discretionary central banker…

212

Abstract

Purpose

The conventional and new inflation bias theories present two distinct facets to explain the outcome of excess inflation without output gains by a discretionary central banker. First is the temptation to achieve a higher than potential output, and, second is not to let it falter. The authors explicitly account for these two distinct dimensions in empirical formulations both exogenously and endogenously. Specifically, the purpose of this paper is to investigate what monetary discretion can and cannot do in terms of dual objectives – inflation and growth – across boom and bust cycles, both directly and indirectly.

Design/methodology/approach

(i) Segregate the economic activity into boom and bust cycles; (ii) Explicitly account for the two dimensions of conventional and new inflation bias theories; and (iii) model and estimate the direct and indirect effects of monetary discretion across business cycles.

Findings

The results indicate considerable asymmetries in the effects of monetary discretion and distribution thereof across objectives and cycles. The direct impact of monetary discretion tends to induce significantly higher inflation in boom and bust cycles, while it exerts a positive but insignificant effect on output. The inflation effects are more pronounced in boom than bust cycles and vice versa are the output effects. The indirect effects on output via inflation are significantly pernicious, which are more pronounced in expansions than recessions.

Originality/value

In a nutshell, instead of benefiting, monetary discretion tends to harm in terms of both the dual policy objectives, which cautions about its well calculated and constrained use only.

Details

Journal of Economic Studies, vol. 46 no. 6
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0144-3585

Keywords

Access Restricted. View access options
Article
Publication date: 4 May 2020

Muhammad Rehman, Sajawal Khan, Zafar Hayat and Faruk Balli

In this paper, the authors develop and estimate a small open economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with an enriched micro-founded specification to account…

311

Abstract

Purpose

In this paper, the authors develop and estimate a small open economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with an enriched micro-founded specification to account for foreign remittances, an important source that helps bridge the trade gap in many developing and emerging market economies.

Design/methodology/approach

Although the authors’ specification provides a general frame for the analysis of the role of workers' remittances, they motivate and calibrate the model with specific focus on Pakistan, where most of the trade deficit is met through the remittance channel.

Findings

The results indicate that a negative shock to workers' remittances hampers real growth via decreased consumption and imported investment goods, while it builds pressure on exchange rate and hence worsens current account balance. These results indicate that too much dependence on workers' remittances to help meet foreign exchange deficits may potentially leave the economy in doldrums in case sizable negative shocks occur to the flow of foreign remittances.

Originality/value

The authors develop and estimate a small open economy DSGE model with an enriched micro-founded specification to account for foreign remittances, an important source that helps bridge the trade gap in many developing and emerging market economies.

Details

Journal of Economic Studies, vol. 47 no. 6
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0144-3585

Keywords

Access Restricted. View access options
Article
Publication date: 23 November 2012

Faruk Balli and Elsayed Mousa Elsamadisy

This paper seeks to model the daily and weekly forecasting of the currency in circulation (CIC) for the State of Qatar.

528

Abstract

Purpose

This paper seeks to model the daily and weekly forecasting of the currency in circulation (CIC) for the State of Qatar.

Design/methodology/approach

The paper employs linear forecasting models, the regression model and the seasonal ARIMA model to forecast the CIC for Qatar.

Findings

Comparing the linear methods, the seasonal ARIMA model provides better estimates for short‐term forecasts. The range of forecast errors for the seasonal ARIMA model forecasts are less than 100 million QR for the short‐term CIC forecasts.

Practical implications

The findings of this paper suggest that the CIC in Qatar is in a pattern and it would be easier to forecast the currency in circulation in Qatar economy. Accurate estimates of money market liquidity would help Qatar Central bank, to maintain the price stability in the Qatar economy.

Originality/value

This paper forecasts the currency in circulation for the State of Qatar. Additionally, the empirical part of the paper compares the different methodologies find the appropriate model for the CIC for the state of Qatar.

Details

International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, vol. 5 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1753-8394

Keywords

Available. Content available
Article
Publication date: 23 November 2012

M. Kabir Hassan

230

Abstract

Details

International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, vol. 5 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1753-8394

Access Restricted. View access options
Article
Publication date: 10 February 2023

Roslina Mohamad Shafi and Yan-Ling Tan

This study aims to explore the evolution of the Islamic capital market (ICM) from the perspective of research publications.

685

Abstract

Purpose

This study aims to explore the evolution of the Islamic capital market (ICM) from the perspective of research publications.

Design/methodology/approach

A bibliometric analysis was applied based on selected publications from the Web of Science Core Collection (WoSCC) database from 2000 to 2021. The study adopted VOSviewer software which was developed by Leiden University.

Findings

This study has some implications that need urgent action. Firstly, there are some areas that have received little attention among researchers, although they are relevant to the industry, for instance, in fintech and blockchain in ICM. Secondly, the inconsistent frequency of publications in some niche areas may suggest that there are unprecedented events that hinder further research; probably, the researcher may anticipate more information and progress in the industry. Thirdly, the need to strengthen the collaboration between industry and academia to advance research.

Research limitations/implications

This study considered only the WoSCC database. The provider of WoSCC is Clarivate (formerly known as Thomson Reuters), where access to publications is limited to institutional subscribers. The implications of this study are to identify and propose future research trends in the field of ICM.

Originality/value

To the best of the authors’ knowledge, the present study is among the pioneer studies in analysing bibliometric focusing on ICM. Previous research has focused on Islamic finance and banking, and not specifically on ICM. Accordingly, this study sheds light on research gaps in ICM.

Details

Journal of Islamic Accounting and Business Research, vol. 14 no. 8
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1759-0817

Keywords

1 – 5 of 5
Per page
102050