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Publication date: 1 August 2003

K. Nikolopoulos, K. Metaxiotis, V. Assimakopoulos and E. Tavanidou

A great challenge for today’s companies is not only how to adapt to the changing business environment but also how to gain a competitive advantage from the way in which they…

1909

Abstract

A great challenge for today’s companies is not only how to adapt to the changing business environment but also how to gain a competitive advantage from the way in which they choose to do so. As a basis for achieving such advantages, companies have started to seek to improve the performance of various operations. Forecasting is one of them; it is important to firms because it can help ensure that effective use of resources is made. In the market there are a number of off‐the‐shelf system products, which provide forecasts. The new trend, of moving traditional software packages to Web services, has pushed forecasting to a new dimension, named by the authors as “e‐forecasting”. In this paper, a first approach to e‐forecasting is made by throwing light on several aspects and a survey is presented which aims at identifying existing Web forecasting services.

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Information Management & Computer Security, vol. 11 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0968-5227

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Article
Publication date: 1 February 2004

K. Maris, K. Metaxiotis, G. Pantou, K. Nikolopoulos, E. Tavanidou and V. Assimakopoulos

Some analysts have claimed that the volatility of an asset is caused solely by the random arrival of new information about the future returns from the asset. Others have claimed…

1298

Abstract

Some analysts have claimed that the volatility of an asset is caused solely by the random arrival of new information about the future returns from the asset. Others have claimed that volatility is mainly caused by trading. In any case it is a common belief that volatility is of great importance in finance and it is the factor that plays the most important role in determining option prices. This paper discusses the development of a decision support system (D‐TIFIS) for options trading based on volatility forecasting. In order to evaluate the system, data were used from the Greek FTSE/ASE 20 stock index as well as at the money call and put prices on the specific index.

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Information Management & Computer Security, vol. 12 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0968-5227

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Article
Publication date: 1 December 2003

K. Nikolopoulos and V. Assimakopoulos

The need effectively to integrate decision making tasks together with knowledge representation and inference procedures has caused recent research efforts towards the integration…

3918

Abstract

The need effectively to integrate decision making tasks together with knowledge representation and inference procedures has caused recent research efforts towards the integration of decision support systems with knowledge‐based techniques. Explores the potential benefits of such integration in the area of business forecasting. Describes the forecasting process and identifies its main functional elements. Some of these elements provide the requirements for an intelligent forecasting support system. Describes the architecture and the implementation of such a system, the theta intelligent forecasting information system (TIFIS) that that first‐named author had developed during his dissertation. In TIFIS, besides the traditional components of a decision‐support onformation system, four constituents are included that try to model the expertise required. The information system adopts an object‐oriented approach to forecasting and exploits the forecasting engine of the theta model integrated with automated rule based adjustments and judgmental adjustments. Tests the forecasting accuracy of the information system on the M3‐competition monthly data.

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Industrial Management & Data Systems, vol. 103 no. 9
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0263-5577

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