The purpose is to establish the impact of trade on manufacturing employment in South Africa.
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose is to establish the impact of trade on manufacturing employment in South Africa.
Design/methodology/approach
Two techniques, the Pooled Mean Group (PMG) and the Dynamic Common Correlated Effects (DCCE), are applied on a panel dataset comprising 26 three-digit manufacturing industries with data observed between 1970 and 2016.
Findings
The impact of trade on employment is miniscule at best and insignificant at worst once the study controls for cross-sectional dependency. This is true for both skilled and unskilled workers. Employment of skilled workers is explained by remuneration while employment of unskilled workers is explained by output dynamics.
Practical implications
Trade is widely attacked for causing labour market disruption through job losses. This hypothesis is not supported by data for South Africa as no link is confirmed between trade and employment of skilled and unskilled workers.
Originality/value
Estimating the trade and employment link for skilled and unskilled workers while controlling for both endogeneity and cross-sectional dependency.
Details
Keywords
Brian Tavonga Mazorodze and Dev D. Tewari
The purpose of this paper is to establish the empirical link between real exchange rate (RER) undervaluation and sectoral growth in South Africa between 1984 and 2014.
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to establish the empirical link between real exchange rate (RER) undervaluation and sectoral growth in South Africa between 1984 and 2014.
Design/methodology/approach
The study employs a dynamic panel data approach estimated by the system generalised method of moments technique in a bid to control for endogeneity.
Findings
The authors find a significant positive impact of undervaluation on sectoral growth which increases with capital accumulation. Also, the authors confirm that undervaluation promotes sectoral growth up to a point where further increases in undervaluation retards growth.
Practical implications
The results confirm the importance of policies that keep the domestic currency weaker to foster sectoral growth.
Originality/value
The originality of this paper lies in establishing the impact of exchange rate undervaluation on growth at a sector level in the context of South Africa using a dynamic panel data approach.