Search results

1 – 2 of 2
Per page
102050
Citations:
Loading...
Access Restricted. View access options
Article
Publication date: 1 December 2000

Ann Gilks, Jonathan Palmer, Lisa Robertson and Vivien Shute

In support of the UN Year of a Society for All Ages, this article suggests that Scottish Homes should lobby government to increase grants to developers who will build 25 per cent…

945

Abstract

In support of the UN Year of a Society for All Ages, this article suggests that Scottish Homes should lobby government to increase grants to developers who will build 25 per cent more SMART homes to barrier free standards by 2010. It concludes that as part of the communication campaign, a major re‐education programme should encourage people currently in their fifties to think ahead about their future housing needs.

Details

Corporate Communications: An International Journal, vol. 5 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1356-3289

Keywords

Access Restricted. View access options
Article
Publication date: 1 October 2019

Eman Khorsheed

The purpose of this study is to present a hybrid approach to model and predict long-term energy peak load using Bayesian and Holt–Winters (HW) exponential smoothing techniques.

209

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to present a hybrid approach to model and predict long-term energy peak load using Bayesian and Holt–Winters (HW) exponential smoothing techniques.

Design/methodology/approach

Bayesian inference is administered by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling techniques. Machine learning tools are used to calibrate the values of the HW model parameters. Hybridization is conducted to reduce modeling uncertainty. The technique is applied to real load data. Monthly peak load forecasts are calculated as weighted averages of HW and MCMC estimates. Mean absolute percentage error and the coefficient of determination (R2) indices are used to evaluate forecasts.

Findings

The developed hybrid methodology offers advantages over both individual combined techniques and reveals more accurate and impressive results with R2 above 0.97. The new technique can be used to assist energy networks in planning and implementing production projects that can ensure access to reliable and modern energy services to meet the sustainable development goal in this sector.

Originality/value

This is original research.

Details

International Journal of Energy Sector Management, vol. 15 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1750-6220

Keywords

1 – 2 of 2
Per page
102050