Andrii Skrypnyk, Nataliia Klymenko, Mykola Talavyria, Anastasia Goray and Yurii Namiasenko
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the justification of objective assessment of the agricultural sector energetic potential, and the increasing of the accuracy of…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the justification of objective assessment of the agricultural sector energetic potential, and the increasing of the accuracy of assessments results of energy resources of plant by-products.
Design/methodology/approach
The study of the problems of bioenergetic potential assessment in the study is carried out in the following order: first, the potential is assessed based upon the 2005-2017 year’s observation data; second, the energetic potential is assessed based upon linear and nonlinear optimization model; and finally, the assessment of the bioenergetic potential predicted values is carried out under the condition of the current pace of development of agricultural business by 2035.
Findings
The findings show that the solving of optimization tasks enabled us to make a comparison of the real structure of agricultural production and to justify the optimal structure of the cultivated areas under the conditions of agricultural business profit maximization with due allowance for both main and additional energy products. Using the linear trend model the predicted value of the agricultural sector energetic potential by the year 2035 is obtained. However, it is far more likely that the domestic bioenergetics will take a slower pace of development and to satisfy its own energy demands.
Practical implications
Based on the data of the reference interval of 2005-2018, the predicted values of biomass for 2035 were obtained in the amount of 28 million tons of oil equivalent, which taking into account the indices of generation efficiency, is sufficient to produce 104 billion kW-h.
Social implications
The use of biomass for energy generation can impact the local environment, for example, by affecting air quality, biodiversity, habitats and ecosystems and water quantity and quality and by changing the local use of land. Social impacts also may arise, notably by affecting local community livelihoods (for example, access to and use of land and resources), food security and economic parameters such as employment and poverty.
Originality/value
The paper presents for the first time the results of the empiric analysis of the Ukrainian sector bioenergetic potential formation that showed that even with respect to the losses during the energy generation, the agricultural production energetic potential will be enough to substitute nuclear national power engineering.
Details
Keywords
Andrii Skrypnyk, Nataliia Klymenko, Semen Voloshyn, Olha Holiachuk and Oleksandr Sabishchenko
The purpose of this paper is to develop a methodology for assessing the effects of global and regional externalities that create traditional power generation industries and to…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to develop a methodology for assessing the effects of global and regional externalities that create traditional power generation industries and to propose a transition to a tariff strategy taking into account these consequences. The main purpose of the research is to analyze the current wholesale electricity tariffs in the energy market of Ukraine and propose their assessment taking into account external effects for other sectors of the economy.
Design/methodology/approach
At the first stage, according to observations for 2004–2019 on the amount of pollution and the cost of agricultural products in some regions of Ukraine, which is provided in 2010 prices, the impact of hazardous emissions on the cost of agricultural products was analyzed in each region. The use of panel regression allowed to combine spatial and temporal studies (12 separate areas and time interval 2004–2019). To assess the external effects of heat generation, panel regression was used, which made it possible to combine spatial and temporal data on the impact of pollution on the efficiency of agricultural production and add regional losses of agricultural business to the cost of heat generation. This paper uses optimization models to maximize the function of public utility of electricity generation, making allowances for externalities.
Findings
This research assesses the negative externalities of Ukraine's energy and confirms the need for a global transition to a low-carbon economy primarily through climate finance. The analysis revealed the presence of various influences of the factor of regional air pollution and time. The hypothesis of the existence of a negative impact of local air pollution on agricultural production has been confirmed. An increase in emissions by 1,000 tons leads to an average decrease in regional agricultural production by UAH 84 million (at the prices of 2010).
Originality/value
The optimization problem of the ratio of different types of generation is set on the basis of maximizing the function of social utility of electricity generation, taking into account external effects. The authors presented an optimization model of electricity generation, which corresponded to the state of the energy market for 2019, provides an opportunity to assess the contribution of the inverse external effects of each electricity sector and to estimate external tariffs for each electricity generation sector.