Amira Mohamed Emara and Nashwa Mostafa Ali Mohamed
This paper aims to investigate the relationship between global economic fluctuations and human development through four transmission channels (foreign direct investment (FDI)…
Abstract
Purpose
This paper aims to investigate the relationship between global economic fluctuations and human development through four transmission channels (foreign direct investment (FDI), official development aid (ODA), remittances and export earnings) in Egypt as an open developing economy, in the period 1990–2015.
Design/methodology/approach
The paper uses a vector autoregressive model, which implies examining the impulse response functions and variance decompositions.
Findings
The results indicate that human development is negatively affected by global economic fluctuations through the four channels, namely, ODA, FDI, export earnings and remittances. In addition, the most effective transmission channels are FDI in the short run and export earnings in the long run.
Originality/value
While a large body of literature addresses the direct impact of business cycles and economic shocks on human development, only some studies focus on the indirect impact. The contribution is to identify the indirect impact of global economic fluctuations on human development in a developing economy, considering four transmission channels and to determine the most important of these channels. Moreover, using the human development index is an addition in this paper as most previous literature depends on other human development indicators such as children’s health, employment and schooling.
Details
Keywords
This study aims to investigate the effect of technological progress on employment in Egypt in the period 1990–2019.
Abstract
Purpose
This study aims to investigate the effect of technological progress on employment in Egypt in the period 1990–2019.
Design/methodology/approach
The study applies a vector autoregressive (VAR) model and uses patents as a measure of innovation outputs.
Findings
The study concludes, as shown by impulse response functions, that a shock to patents affects employment negatively in Egypt throughout the period, as expected.
Originality/value
Since there is still no decisive answer about the impact of technological progress and innovation on employment, this study attempts to contribute to this debate. Most existing studies focus on how technological change affects workers with different job types and skill levels, covering manufacturing and service sectors, mainly in developed countries, but there is still little research on its effect on employment at the macrolevel and in developing countries.