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Article
Publication date: 27 November 2024

Feng Feng, Xiaoxiao Ge, Stefania Tomasiello and Jianke Zhang

As social networks have developed to be a ubiquitous platform of public opinion spreading, it becomes more and more crucial for maintaining social security and stability by…

88

Abstract

Purpose

As social networks have developed to be a ubiquitous platform of public opinion spreading, it becomes more and more crucial for maintaining social security and stability by accurately predicting various trends of public opinion dissemination in social networks. Considering the fact that the dissemination of online public opinion is a dynamic process full of uncertainty and complexity, this study establishes a novel conformable fractional discrete grey model with linear time-varying parameters, namely the CFTDGM(1,1) model, for more accurate prediction of online public opinion trends.

Design/methodology/approach

First, the conformable fractional accumulation and difference operators are employed to build the CFTDGM(1,1) model for enhancing the traditional integer-order discrete grey model with linear time-varying parameters. Then, to improve forecasting accuracy, a base value correction term is introduced to optimize the iterative base value of the CFTDGM(1,1) model. Next, the differential evolution algorithm is selected to determine the optimal order of the proposed model through a comparison with the whale optimization algorithm and the particle swarm optimization algorithm. The least squares method is utilized to estimate the parameter values of the CFTDGM(1,1) model. In addition, the effectiveness of the CFTDGM(1,1) model is tested through a public opinion event about “IG team winning the championship”. Finally, we conduct empirical analysis on two hot online public opinion events regarding “Chengdu toddler mauled by Rottweiler” and “Mayday band suspected of lip-syncing,” to further assess the prediction ability and applicability of the CFTDGM(1,1) model by comparison with seven other existing grey models.

Findings

The test case and empirical analysis on two recent hot events reveal that the CFTDGM(1,1) model outperforms most of the existing grey models in terms of prediction performance. Therefore, the CFTDGM(1,1) model is chosen to forecast the development trends of these two hot events. The prediction results indicate that public attention to both events will decline slowly over the next three days.

Originality/value

A conformable fractional discrete grey model is proposed with the help of conformable fractional operators and a base value correction term to improve the traditional discrete grey model. The test case and empirical analysis on two recent hot events indicate that this novel model has higher accuracy and feasibility in online public opinion trend prediction.

Details

Kybernetes, vol. 53 no. 13
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0368-492X

Keywords

Available. Content available
Article
Publication date: 16 October 2009

110

Abstract

Details

Aircraft Engineering and Aerospace Technology, vol. 81 no. 6
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0002-2667

Available. Content available
Book part
Publication date: 13 August 2024

Cristina de Mello e Souza Wildermuth

Abstract

Details

Against All Odds: Leadership and the Handmaid's Tale
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-80455-334-3

Available. Content available
Article
Publication date: 7 November 2008

202

Abstract

Details

Disaster Prevention and Management: An International Journal, vol. 17 no. 5
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0965-3562

Available. Content available
131

Abstract

Details

Disaster Prevention and Management: An International Journal, vol. 8 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0965-3562

Available. Open Access. Open Access
Article
Publication date: 28 January 2025

Leila Zemmouchi-Ghomari

This article examines the contribution of artificial intelligence to augmenting Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) to enhance traffic flow, safety, and sustainability.

129

Abstract

Purpose

This article examines the contribution of artificial intelligence to augmenting Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) to enhance traffic flow, safety, and sustainability.

Design/methodology/approach

The research investigates using AI technologies in ITS, including machine learning, computer vision, and deep learning. It analyzes case studies on ITS projects in Poznan, Mysore, Austin, New York City, and Beijing to identify essential components, advantages, and obstacles.

Findings

Using AI in Intelligent Transportation Systems has considerable opportunities for enhancing traffic efficiency, minimizing accidents, and fostering sustainable urban growth. Nonetheless, issues like data quality, real-time processing, security, public acceptability, and privacy concerns need resolution.

Originality/value

This article thoroughly examines AI-driven ITS, emphasizing successful applications and pinpointing significant difficulties. It underscores the need for a sustainable economic strategy for extensive adoption and enduring success.

Details

Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing and Special Equipment, vol. ahead-of-print no. ahead-of-print
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2633-6596

Keywords

Available. Content available
Article
Publication date: 1 June 2005

68

Abstract

Details

Nutrition & Food Science, vol. 35 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0034-6659

Available. Content available
Article
Publication date: 1 February 1998

423

Abstract

Details

Aircraft Engineering and Aerospace Technology, vol. 70 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0002-2667

Available. Content available
Article
Publication date: 1 August 2001

1962

Abstract

Details

Aircraft Engineering and Aerospace Technology, vol. 73 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0002-2667

Available. Content available
Article
Publication date: 1 August 2005

Paul Kingsnorth

192

Abstract

Details

European Business Review, vol. 17 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0955-534X

Keywords

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