Investigation of the anomalies associated with crashes and jackpots in the Chinese stock market.
Abstract
Purpose
Investigation of the anomalies associated with crashes and jackpots in the Chinese stock market.
Design/methodology/approach
We propose a logit model to predict the events of crashes and jackpots in the Chinese stock market. The model introduces a new variable of the price-to-sales ratio and takes into account the market states, Up and Down.
Findings
The anomalies associated with crashes and jackpots are not related to variations in economic conditions, but are associated with limits to arbitrage. High-liquidity stocks have strong mispricing effects. The institutions’ speculative trading will push liquid stock prices further away from their fundamentals but avoid buying illiquid stocks with a higher probability of price crashes and jackpots.
Originality/value
We propose a logit model to predict the extreme events of both crash and jackpot in the Chinese stock market. Our model effectively disentangles from CRASHP and JACKP. Compared with the traditional model, it substantially enhances in-sample and out-sample predictions. Based on the predictions of the extreme events, we find two strong and robust pricing effects associated with ex ante CRASHP and JACKP in the Chinese stock market.
Guofu Wang, Yuhua Yang, Jiangong Cui, Wendong Zhang, Guojun Zhang, Renxin Wang, Pengcheng Shi and Hua Tian
In recent years, the incidence of cardiovascular disease has continued to rise, and early screening and prevention are especially critical. Phonocardiography (PCG) and…
Abstract
Purpose
In recent years, the incidence of cardiovascular disease has continued to rise, and early screening and prevention are especially critical. Phonocardiography (PCG) and electrocardiography (ECG), as simple, cost-effective and non-invasive tests, are important tools for clinical analysis. However, it is difficult to fully reflect the complexity of the cardiovascular system using PCG or ECG tests alone. Combining the multimodal signals of PCG and ECG can provide complementary information to improve the detection accuracy. Therefore, the purpose of this paper is to propose a multimodal signal classification method based on continuous wavelet transform and improved ResNet18.
Design/methodology/approach
The classification method is based on the ResNet18 backbone, and the ResNet18 network is improved by embedding the global grouped coordinate attention mechanism module and the improved bidirectional feature pyramid network. Firstly, a data acquisition system was built using a MEMS-integrated PCG-ECG sensor to construct a private data set. Second is the time-frequency transformation of PCG and ECG synchronized signals on public and private data sets using continuous wavelet transform. Finally, the time-frequency images are categorized.
Findings
The global grouped coordinate attention mechanism and bidirectional feature pyramid network modules proposed in this paper significantly enhance the model’s performance. On public data sets, the method achieves precision, sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and F1 score of 97.96%, 98.51%, 97.58%, 98.08% and 98.23%, respectively, which represent improvements of 3.54%, 3.92%, 4.18%, 4.03% and 3.72% compared to ResNet18. Additionally, it demonstrates a clear advantage over existing mainstream algorithms. On private data sets, the method’s five metrics are 98.15%, 98.76%, 98.08%, 98.42% and 98.45%, further validating the model’s generalization ability.
Originality/value
The method proposed in this paper not only improves the accuracy and efficiency of the test but also provides an effective solution for early screening and prevention of cardiovascular diseases.
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Keywords
Delin Yuan and Yang Li
When emergencies occur, the attention of the public towards emergency information on social media in a specific time period forms the emergency information popularity evolution…
Abstract
Purpose
When emergencies occur, the attention of the public towards emergency information on social media in a specific time period forms the emergency information popularity evolution patterns. The purpose of this study is to discover the popularity evolution patterns of social media emergency information and make early predictions.
Design/methodology/approach
We collected the data related to the COVID-19 epidemic on the Sina Weibo platform and applied the K-Shape clustering algorithm to identify five distinct patterns of emergency information popularity evolution patterns. These patterns include strong twin peaks, weak twin peaks, short-lived single peak, slow-to-warm-up single peak and slow-to-decay single peak. Oriented toward early monitoring and warning, we developed a comprehensive characteristic system that incorporates publisher features, information features and early features. In the early features, data measurements are taken within a 1-h time window after the release of emergency information. Considering real-time response and analysis speed, we employed classical machine learning methods to predict the relevant patterns. Multiple classification models were trained and evaluated for this purpose.
Findings
The combined prediction results of the best prediction model and random forest (RF) demonstrate impressive performance, with precision, recall and F1-score reaching 88%. Moreover, the F1 value for each pattern prediction surpasses 87%. The results of the feature importance analysis show that the early features contribute the most to the pattern prediction, followed by the information features and publisher features. Among them, the release time in the information features exhibits the most substantial contribution to the prediction outcome.
Originality/value
This study reveals the phenomena and special patterns of growth and decline, appearance and disappearance of social media emergency information popularity from the time dimension and identifies the patterns of social media emergency information popularity evolution. Meanwhile, early prediction of related patterns is made to explore the role factors behind them. These findings contribute to the formulation of social media emergency information release strategies, online public opinion guidance and risk monitoring.
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Yanhu Han, Haoyuan Du and Chongyang Zhao
Digital transformation is crucial for achieving high-quality development in the construction industry. Assessing the industry's digital maturity is an urgent necessity. The…
Abstract
Purpose
Digital transformation is crucial for achieving high-quality development in the construction industry. Assessing the industry's digital maturity is an urgent necessity. The Digital Transformation Maturity Model is a potential tool to systematically evaluate the digital maturity levels of various industries. However, most existing models predominantly focus on sectors such as the Internet and manufacturing, leaving the construction industry comparatively underrepresented. This study aims to address this gap by developing a maturity model tailored specifically for digital transformation within the construction industry.
Design/methodology/approach
This study leverages the Capability Maturity Theory and integrates the unique characteristics of the construction industry to construct a comprehensive maturity model for digital transformation. The model comprises five critical dimensions: industry environment, strategy and organization, digital infrastructure, business process and management digitization, and digital performance. These dimensions encompass a total of 25 assessment indexes. To validate the model's feasibility and effectiveness, a digital transformation maturity assessment was conducted within China's construction industry.
Findings
The results of the maturity assessment within the Chinese construction industry reveal that it currently operates at the third level of digital maturity (defined level). The industry's maturity score stands at 2.329 out of 5. This outcome indicates that the developed model is accurate and reliable in assessing the level of digital transformation maturity within the construction industry.
Originality/value
This paper contributes both practical and theoretical insights to the field of digital transformation within the construction industry. By creating a tailored maturity model, it addresses a significant gap in existing research and offers a valuable tool for assessing and advancing digital maturity levels within this industry.
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Yawen Liu, Bin Sun, Tong Guo and Zhaoxia Li
Damage of engineering structures is a nonlinear evolutionary process that spans across both material and structural levels, from mesoscale to macroscale. This paper aims to…
Abstract
Purpose
Damage of engineering structures is a nonlinear evolutionary process that spans across both material and structural levels, from mesoscale to macroscale. This paper aims to provide a comprehensive review of damage analysis methods at both the material and structural levels.
Design/methodology/approach
This study provides an overview of multiscale damage analysis of engineering structures, including its definition and significance. Current status of damage analysis at both material and structural levels is investigated, by reviewing damage models and prediction methods from single-scale to multiscale perspectives. The discussion of prediction methods includes both model-based simulation approaches and data-driven techniques, emphasizing their roles and applications. Finally, summarize the main findings and discuss potential future research directions in this field.
Findings
In the material level, damage research primarily focuses on the degradation of material properties at the macroscale using continuum damage mechanics (CDM). In contrast, at the mesoscale, damage research involves analyzing material behavior in the meso-structural domain, focusing on defects like microcracks and void growth. In structural-level damage analysis, the macroscale is typically divided into component and structural scales. The component scale examines damage progression in individual structural elements, such as beams and columns, often using detailed finite element or mesoscale models. The structural scale evaluates the global behavior of the entire structure, typically using simplified models like beam or shell elements.
Originality/value
To achieve realistic simulations, it is essential to include as many mesoscale details as possible. However, this results in significant computational demands. To balance accuracy and efficiency, multiscale methods are employed. These methods are categorized into hierarchical approaches, where different scales are processed sequentially, and concurrent approaches, where multiple scales are solved simultaneously to capture complex interactions across scales.
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Yitong Qiu, Jinqiang Li and Zhiguang Song
This study aims to propose a novel acoustic metamaterial waveguide with active switchable channels by changing the magnetic field strength.
Abstract
Purpose
This study aims to propose a novel acoustic metamaterial waveguide with active switchable channels by changing the magnetic field strength.
Design/methodology/approach
Based on the Bragg scattering mechanism and the force-magnetic coupling effect of magnetorheological elastomer (MRE), an acoustic metamaterial waveguide structure containing lead scatterers and an MRE/rubber matrix is constructed. By changing the external magnetic field strength, the bandgap of the acoustic metamaterial can be adjusted, and then the channels of the proposed acoustic metamaterial waveguide can be actively switched. The bandgap ranges of acoustic metamaterials containing scatterers with different sizes are different and by designing the size of the scatterers, an acoustic metamaterial waveguide can be formed. The design and control method of this study will be useful for the design of waveguides and active control of bandgaps.
Findings
The proposed switchable multi-channel waveguide and active control method can effectively control the elastic wave propagation, and the opening and closing of the channel are achieved.
Practical implications
This study provides a new control method for waveguides and expands the application range of MRE. The proposed design concept of adjustable waveguides can be extended for the design of waveguides, metamaterials and vibration reduction structures.
Originality/value
This article proposes a waveguide structure controlled by an external magnetic field in a non-contact manner based on the principle of Bragg scattering and the force-magnetic coupling effect. The model is established, and its feasibility is demonstrated through numerical simulations.
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Caiyun Cui, Tingyu Xie, Yong Liu, Meng Liu, Huan Cao and Huilian Li
This paper aims to explore the influencing factors of public perceived efficacy of emergency infrastructure projects based on the triadic interactive determinism, and analyze the…
Abstract
Purpose
This paper aims to explore the influencing factors of public perceived efficacy of emergency infrastructure projects based on the triadic interactive determinism, and analyze the relationship among these factors.
Design/methodology/approach
Based on the triadic interactive determinism, we explored the factors influencing public perceived efficacy of emergency infrastructure project and empirically verified the relationship among these factors and perceived efficacy by using data drawn from a questionnaire survey of 491 residents near Leishenshan Hospital, Jiangxia District, Wuhan, China.
Findings
Prior experience, emotional response, personal expectation, public trust, context message and interactivity level, namely behavior, individual and environment, affect the perceived efficacy of public emergency infrastructure projects.
Practical implications
The results offer an insight into public perceived efficacy of emergency infrastructure project from the perspective of antecedents in a triadic reciprocal determinism, which provides a reference basis for the sustainable development of the emergency infrastructure projects. This study also suggests valuable practical implications to government departments to improve the quality of administrative decision-making effectively.
Originality/value
Although existing studies have found some influencing factors of public perceived efficacy in general infrastructure, there is still a lack of systematic carding and quantitative description of influencing factors of public perceived efficacy of emergency infrastructure projects. This study bridges this gap by exploring the determinants and their influencing relationship of public perceived efficacy especially for emergency infrastructure projects.
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Yujing Liu and Meifang Li
This study explores how the high-end equipment manufacturing industry (HEMI) achieves intelligent development through the digital innovation ecosystem. While this industry…
Abstract
Purpose
This study explores how the high-end equipment manufacturing industry (HEMI) achieves intelligent development through the digital innovation ecosystem. While this industry urgently needs to achieve intelligent development through innovation breakthroughs, existing research lacks a deep analysis in conjunction with the digital innovation ecosystem. Considering the sophisticated nature of HEMI and the unique characteristics of the digital innovation ecosystem, this paper aims to uncover the innovation potential and synergetic development opportunities that arise from their integration.
Design/methodology/approach
This study uses Dynamic Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) to explore the evolving relationship between the digital innovation ecosystem and intelligent development in HEMI enterprises. Data from 60 HEMI enterprises were collected from 2015 to 2022, and the study window was divided into two-year intervals for analysis. Compared to traditional QCA methods, this approach overcomes the limitations of cross-sectional analysis, fully accounting for time’s influence on causal relationships for more accurate results.
Findings
The study reveals that the digital innovation ecosystem of HEMI drives intelligent development through the coordinated interactions of its elements within each time window. Configuration paths and key driving factors evolve dynamically, reflecting the complexity of the ecosystem’s role in driving intelligent development. The study suggests that enterprises dynamically adjust their strategies to different stages, enhancing the effectiveness of intelligent transformation.
Originality/value
The paper proposes and validates a digital innovation ecosystem framework for HEMI, systematically exploring its role in driving intelligent development. The study fills a research gap and extends innovation ecosystem theory by identifying core driving factors and their evolutionary trends through Dynamic QCA. It offers a new perspective on the dynamic role of digital innovation ecosystems in intelligent transformation.
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Khaled Al-Omoush and Ayman Abdalmajeed Alsmadi
This study empirically explores the impact of human capital, structural capital, relational capital and absorptive capacity on Fintech innovation. This study aims to investigate…
Abstract
Purpose
This study empirically explores the impact of human capital, structural capital, relational capital and absorptive capacity on Fintech innovation. This study aims to investigate the potential impact of Fintech innovation on competitive agility and financial inclusion.
Design/methodology/approach
Data was collected from 283 participants in Jordan. Smart PLS software was used to test the hypotheses.
Findings
The findings reveal that human capital, structural capital, relational capital and absorptive capacity plays a significant role in Fintech innovation. Also, the outcome of path analysis confirms a significant impact of Fintech innovation on competitive agility and financial inclusion.
Originality/value
This study emphasizes the practical value of intellectual capital in fostering Fintech innovation for managers, banks, financial institutions and policymakers. Prioritizing investment in human, structural and social capital enhances organizational innovation.
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This study examines the stock market efficiency in China to offer trading strategy guidance to investors and efficiency evaluation insight to policymakers.
Abstract
Purpose
This study examines the stock market efficiency in China to offer trading strategy guidance to investors and efficiency evaluation insight to policymakers.
Design/methodology/approach
This study examines the stock market efficiency in China with a new combined liquidity trading strategy by blending technical analysis into a liquidity buy-and-hold strategy.
Findings
Our results show that the combined strategy generates significant excess returns in the whole sample period, suggesting that the Chinese stock market is not consistent with the weak form efficient hypothesis. In addition, the combined strategy yields more significant risk-adjusted excess returns after the 2004 split-share reform, indicating the stock market efficiency in China does not exhibit a distinct upgrade after the reform. Our further test results reinforce the main conclusions after taking transaction costs, market states, short-selling reform and other issues into consideration.
Originality/value
Our study contributes to the literature in two ways: First, we shed light on the mixed documented results about the market efficiency form in China. Second, we contribute to the mixed relation between the 2004 split-share reform and market efficiency in China.