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The purpose of this paper is to enlarge the exposure of the Theil–Sen (TS) methodology to the academic, analyst and practitioner communities using an earnings forecast setting. The study includes an appendix that describes the TS model in very basic terms and SAS code to assist readers in the implementation of the TS model. The study also presents an alternative approach to deflating or scaling variables.

Archival in nature using a combination of regression analysis and binomial tests.

The binomial test results support the hypothesis that the forecasting performance of the naïve no-change model is at least equal to or better than the ordinary least squares (OLS) model when earnings volatility is low. However, the results do not support the same hypothesis for the TS model nor do the results support the hypothesis that the OLS and TS models will outperform the naïve no-change model when cash flow volatility is high. Nevertheless, the study makes notable contributions to the literature, as the results indicate that the performance of the naïve model is at least as good as the OLS and TS models across 18 of the 20 binomial tests. Moreover, the results indicate that the performance of the TS model is always superior to the OLS model.

The results are generalizable to US firms and may not extend to non-US firms.

The TS methodology is advantageous to OLS in that the results are robust to outlier observations, and there is no heteroscedasticity. Researchers will find this study to be useful given the use of a model (i.e. TS) which has to date received little attention, and the provision of the details for the mechanics of the model. A bonus for researchers is that the study includes SAS code for implementing the procedure.

Awareness of alternative forecast methodologies could lead to improved forecasting results in certain contexts. The study also helps the financial community in general, as improved forecasting abilities are important for all capital market participants as they improve market efficiency.

Although a healthy literature exists for examining out-of-sample forecasts for earnings, the literature lacks an answer for a simple question before pursuing additional analyses: Are the results any better than those from a naive no-change forecast? The current study emphasizes the idea that the naïve no-change forecast is the most elementary model possible, and the researcher must first establish the superiority of a more complex model before conducting further analyses.

The librarian and researcher have to be able to uncover specific articles in their areas of interest. This Bibliography is designed to help. Volume IV, like Volume III, contains features to help the reader to retrieve relevant literature from MCB University Press' considerable output. Each entry within has been indexed according to author(s) and the Fifth Edition of the SCIMP/SCAMP Thesaurus. The latter thus provides a full subject index to facilitate rapid retrieval. Each article or book is assigned its own unique number and this is used in both the subject and author index. This Volume indexes 29 journals indicating the depth, coverage and expansion of MCB's portfolio.

In the last four years, since Volume I of this Bibliography first appeared, there has been an explosion of literature in all the main functional areas of business. This wealth of material poses problems for the researcher in management studies — and, of course, for the librarian: uncovering what has been written in any one area is not an easy task. This volume aims to help the librarian and the researcher overcome some of the immediate problems of identification of material. It is an annotated bibliography of management, drawing on the wide variety of literature produced by MCB University Press. Over the last four years, MCB University Press has produced an extensive range of books and serial publications covering most of the established and many of the developing areas of management. This volume, in conjunction with Volume I, provides a guide to all the material published so far.

The most significant event for the School has been the announcement of the creation of the National Centre for Management Research and Development. The Centre is due to open in 1986 and will provide research facilities for up to 20 major projects designed to improve the competitiveness of Canadian business practices.

An odd‐sounding expression recently introduced into the language, derived from the passage of events, Privatization, introduced as a rescue operation for sections of public and nationalised industry to hand them over to private enterprise to avoid their destruction and smothering by the unholy wedlock of trade unionism and weak, inefficient management. It frequently met with the opposition of unions and sections of staff. Efforts have been made to sabotage the take‐over and operation of the services by private firms, occasionally making them impossible to operate. This elementary operation was expected to achieve even greater success in the sections taken over and reduced the room for destructive manoeuvring by ajitator, much of which was caused independent of the unions. In the public services some of the antics between rival factions bordered on the ludicrous.

This paper aims to study the formation and preservation of behavioral integration (BI) in the top management team (TMT) of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints from 1844 to the present.

An analytically structured history approach within a case exemplar framework is adopted. Theoretical insights are extrapolated from the case study to form a process model of BI formation and preservation in TMTs.

The findings reveal that three factors primarily influence BI creation (induction, education and cementation) and that BI is preserved via an iterative process that is driven by CEO conservatorship, intentional mentoring and social modeling.

This study investigates an unexplored area in upper echelons theory: the process by which BI is formed and preserved in TMTs and presents a process model of BI formation and preservation that shifts attention in the literature from analyses of the effect of BI on various organizational outcomes to how it can be formed in the first place and then preserved.