Turkey’s Iraq campaign can be sustained indefinitely
Significance
There are no prospects of militarily defeating the PKK, but Ankara is continuing a slow military advance that promises to last many years.
Impacts
- The Kurds in Syria will seek US support to hold back Turkish military pressure.
- Progress in Syrian-Turkish relations will hinge on Ankara's readiness to commit to a withdrawal of forces from Syria.
- Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani will try to balance his ties with Washington, Tehran and Ankara to boost his domestic standing.
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