Gaza war will upset Jordan’s cautious Israel balance

Significance

He reiterated the urgency of the two-state solution and pressed for humanitarian aid corridors. Even before the October 7 outbreak of the Gaza conflict, the Israeli-Palestinian impasse, right-wing Israeli government policies and apparent international apathy had been causing major problems for Amman.

Impacts

• If a new Lebanese front opens up, with risks of Syrian and Iraqi involvement, Jordan would be in a vulnerable position.
• The dangers of an unstable West Bank transition from Abbas’s Palestinian Authority have increased.
• Israeli-Saudi normalisation, which offered Jordan both risks and opportunities, has become less likely.