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China's Party Congress is a complete victory for Xi

Monday, October 24, 2022

Significance

While some significant government personnel appointments remain to be confirmed, these can be expected to follow Xi’s preferences given his clean sweep of filling the Politburo Standing Committee (PBSC) with allies.

Impacts

  • Prospects for institutionalisation, and checks and balances, in China’s political system seem to have withered for the foreseeable future.
  • Government appointments and policies will increasingly reflect priorities defined by the Party organs dominated by Xi and his allies.
  • US political elites will be confirmed in their judgment that China is a first-order threat that warrants increasingly antagonistic policies.
  • Third-country governments will come under increasing US pressure to align against China.
  • China will redouble technological and economic self-reliance efforts, while trying to maintain beneficial foreign trade and research links.

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