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Myanmar UN court case will be least of Suu Kyi’s woes

Friday, December 6, 2019

Subject

Problems facing State Counsellor Aung San Suu Kyi.

Significance

The UN's International Court of Justice (ICJ) next week begins hearing a case in which Myanmar is accused of genocide against the Rohingya people. State Counsellor Aung San Suu Kyi plans to lead a delegation to The Hague to defend her country. Meanwhile, her National League for Democracy (NLD) is stepping up preparations for next year’s general election.

Impacts

  • If the ICJ issues an initial ruling against Myanmar, foreign investors yet to shun the country may start pulling out.
  • As Myanmar becomes increasingly isolated, it will lean more heavily on China.
  • The military-backed Union Solidarity and Development Party is unlikely to gain much electoral ground at the 2020 polls.

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