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Chile election results point to generational change

Wednesday, November 22, 2017

Significance

In the parliamentary polls, a strong performance by the Frente Amplio (FA), a new left-wing alliance, and the election of an important contingent of newcomers to Congress, mark the start of a long-delayed generational change in Chilean politics. They also suggest that the run-off presidential ballot on December 17 will be tight.

Impacts

  • The results do not necessarily imply a shift to the left, but rather that voters are eager for new faces in politics.
  • Polling methodologies will need to be reviewed after serious errors in forecasts, probably related to coverage of younger voters.
  • The next government, particularly if headed by Pinera, will find managing Congress difficult.

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