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US influence in South-east Asia is likely to wane

Content type:: Expert Briefings
Location:: SOUTH-EAST ASIA
Keywords associated with this article:: Geographic: United States South-east Asia AP NA APEC ASEAN Brunei Cambodia China Indonesia Japan Laos Malaysia Myanmar North Korea Philippines Singapore South Korea Thailand Vietnam

Topical: international relations defence foreign investment foreign policy foreign trade security aerospace aid airlines ethnic religion
ISSN:: 2633-304X
Citation:: Oxford Analytica (2017), "US influence in South-east Asia is likely to wane", Expert Briefings.
https://doi.org/10.1108/OXAN-DB224607

Wednesday, September 20, 2017

Significance

Trump had said his attendance was certain, but now he appears less sure. This is raising fresh questions about his administration’s policy towards South-east Asia, a region which received more attention under his predecessor, Barack Obama.

Impacts

Less US influence in ASEAN could benefit China, though ASEAN states will still seek US involvement to hedge against Beijing.
US policy towards South-east Asia will be driven more by Congress than the White House.
The White House is unlikely to prioritise good governance or human rights over trade initiatives.

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Significance

Impacts

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