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Myanmar policy zest could suffer in 2017

Thursday, January 26, 2017

Significance

Her comments hint at the political difficulties facing the one-year-old NLD-led administration in 2017.

Impacts

  • Myanmar holds 19 by-elections on April 1, which will measure the NLD’s popularity.
  • Government support for the military will aid civil-military ties but alienate minorities and democratic activists.
  • International pressure over the Rohingya controversy will mount.
  • Only modest progress is likely on the ethnic peace process this year, which will frustrate Beijing.
  • The NLD could face a challenge from a new political party on the left in 2020.

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