Sudanese opposition will fail to challenge the NCP

Subject

Sudan’s ruling party, its capabilities and political implications.

Significance

President Omar al-Bashir has been in power for 27 years, supported by the National Congress Party (NCP) and its predecessor, the National Islamic Front (NIF). Following the completion last year of a 'national dialogue', the government is ostensibly due to form a new cabinet this year. While some breakaway or new political parties cooperate with the NCP, the core Sudanese opposition parties -- long-standing and newer ones -- continue to oppose the government; some boycotted the national dialogue.

Impacts

• The national security apparatus will maintain tight controls on Sudanese activists and media.
• The government will look to Arab allies for further budgetary assistance.
• New anti-government protests and strikes remain a risk.