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Demonetisation will dampen India’s 2017 GDP growth

Wednesday, November 23, 2016

Subject

Economic impact of demonetisation.

Significance

On the night of November 8, Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government withdrew the 500-rupee (7.30 dollars) and 1,000-rupee notes as legal tender. Notes of those denominations accounted for around 25% of all notes in circulation and 85% of the value of currency in circulation in the country. The government’s ostensible aim is to curb illicit wealth and “terrorist financing”. This move has flushed out a large chunk of the currency in circulation in a very short time.

Impacts

  • Urban and rural demand is likely to suffer due to demonetisation.
  • Prices of agricultural products are likely to fall due to trade disruptions.
  • Demonetisation will reduce employment in sectors such as informal manufacturing and construction.

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