South-east Asia-US ties will be unchanged, for now
Thursday, September 22, 2016
Significance
With Trump within striking distance of catching Clinton in popular polls, though not yet the Electoral College, South-east Asian leaders and diplomats have privately expressed concern about the next US administration and the outlook for South-east Asia-US relations.
Impacts
- A Trump presidency could destabilise South-east Asian economies and regional security.
- Maritime frictions could soon flare if China 'tests' the incoming US president.
- If the TPP is delayed or fails, Vietnamese labour rights and state-owned enterprise reform will likely founder.