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South-east Asia-US ties will be unchanged, for now

Thursday, September 22, 2016

Significance

With Trump within striking distance of catching Clinton in popular polls, though not yet the Electoral College, South-east Asian leaders and diplomats have privately expressed concern about the next US administration and the outlook for South-east Asia-US relations.

Impacts

  • A Trump presidency could destabilise South-east Asian economies and regional security.
  • Maritime frictions could soon flare if China 'tests' the incoming US president.
  • If the TPP is delayed or fails, Vietnamese labour rights and state-owned enterprise reform will likely founder.

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