Performance analysis of the Next Eleven countries regarding climate change for the selected years

Nuray Tezcan (Department of Management Information Systems, Haliç University, Istanbul, Turkey)

Journal of Capital Markets Studies

ISSN: 2514-4774

Article publication date: 5 November 2024

Issue publication date: 26 November 2024

137

Abstract

Purpose

In the Next Eleven (N-11) countries, which are considered emerging investment markets, energy consumption is increasing in parallel with the growing economy. This situation negatively affects global warming and climate change, which are the biggest environmental problems of today. From this point of view, the purpose of the study is to determine the performance of the N-11 countries in terms of energy use and climate change for the period between 2010 and 2022 based on the indicators of Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 7 and SDG 13 to be reached until 2030.

Design/methodology/approach

Grey relational analysis (GRA), one of the multi-criteria decision-making techniques, was used to assess the performance of the N-11 countries in the study. Additionally, the entropy method was employed in determining weights needed in GRA. The indicators were obtained from the World Development Indicators database, World Bank. Performance analyses were conducted for the years 2010, 2015 and 2022, respectively.

Findings

According to the results obtained, it has been found that Bangladesh, the Philippines and Egypt have the three highest scores, while Mexico, Indonesia and Iran have the three lowest scores. In 2022, Nigeria is placed instead of Mexico in this group. It is observed that the performance scores of the countries have either remained the same or increased slightly over the years. This indicates that it is difficult to reach the 2030 targets.

Originality/value

This study is the first attempt to measure the performance of N-11 countries on climate change using multi-criteria decision-making. In this study, the performance scores obtained for the selected years were compared. Thus, it is observed whether there is an improvement in the performance scores of the countries during the analysis period.

Keywords

Citation

Tezcan, N. (2024), "Performance analysis of the Next Eleven countries regarding climate change for the selected years", Journal of Capital Markets Studies, Vol. 8 No. 2, pp. 275-290. https://doi.org/10.1108/JCMS-08-2024-0043

Publisher

:

Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2024, Nuray Tezcan

License

Published in Journal of Capital Markets Studies. Published by Emerald Publishing Limited. This article is published under the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) license. Anyone may reproduce, distribute, translate and create derivative works of this article (for both commercial and non-commercial purposes), subject to full attribution to the original publication and authors. The full terms of this license may be seen at http://creativecommons.org/licences/by/4.0/legalcode


1. Introduction

The term “Next Eleven (N-11)” defines a group of eleven developing countries with emerging markets, Bangladesh, Egypt, Indonesia, Iran, Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Philippines, Turkiye, South Korea and Vietnam, and these countries have the potential to become the largest economies in the world. This identification was made by Goldman Sachs Investment Bank in 2005, and they are considered the new BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China) countries of the future (Lawson et al., 2007; Wilson and Stupnytska, 2007; O’Neill and Stupnytska, 2009).

The N-11 countries have about 20% of the world's population and account for about 10% of the world's imports and exports (Sandalcılar et al., 2022), and they can also be regarded as the leading countries in terms of energy consumption. Six of the top 20 countries in terms of carbon emissions in the world are the N-11 countries (Statista, 2024b). Although the N-11 countries have been playing a significant role in the global economy, it is clear that their excessive energy consumption causes environmental degradation across the world.

On the other hand, climate change is one of the most important problems experienced throughout the world over the last two decades, and its consequences are becoming threatening to human life. Rising temperatures, droughts, water scarcity, severe fires, melting polar ice, catastrophic storms and declining biodiversity have been results of climate change. The world's temperature is continuing to rise, the number of catastrophes is expected to increase by 40% between 2015 and 2030, and energy-related carbon dioxide emissions increased by 6% in 2021. If current trends continue, the sea level will have increased by 30–60 cm by the year 2,100 (United Nations, 2022). According to the researchers, by 2060, the surface temperature will increase by 1.6 °C under a very low greenhouse gas emission scenario and by 2.4oC under a very high greenhouse gas emission scenario (Statista, 2024b). These forecasts show how the effects of climate change could be dangerous. Moreover, based on the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) report 2023, the world's time is running out, and therefore countries have to take various measures on this issue (United Nations, 2023).

One of the most important factors causing global warming and climate change is the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions that consist of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O) and fluorinated gases released by human activities. GHG emissions have caused a rising global temperature of 1.2o C since 1850, and the rising of the temperature to about 1.5o C is regarded as the beginning of irreversible climate change (United Nations, 2024a).

As can be seen in Figure 1, GHG emissions have doubled from 1970 to 2022 globally. In parallel, from 1990 to 2022, CO2 emissions have increased by more than 60%, CH4 emissions by more than 32% and N2O by more than 30% since 1990 (Statista, 2024b).

The N-11 countries play an important role in the world economy. However, the environmental degradation they cause negatively affects sustainability. This study aims to determine the performance of the N-11 countries in terms of energy use and climate change based on indicators of the SDGs framework for the selected years. The remaining part of this study is arranged as follows: Second part presents the literature review; the following part gives the visualization about some energy and climate change indicators. Fourth part presents the dataset, indicators and the method used. In the following part, results obtained from the analysis are provided, and the last part is dedicated to discussion and conclusion.

2. Literature review

There are many studies about the energy consumption of the N-11 countries and its impact on global warming or the environmental degradation that the N-11 countries have caused.

In the N-11 countries, Ampofo et al. (2021) examined the cointegration and causative links between energy consumption, carbon emissions and economic growth between 1972 and 2013. They found a causal relationship between carbon emissions and energy consumption in South Korea, Pakistan, Egypt and Bangladesh. In addition to this, unidirectional and bidirectional causal relationships between carbon emissions and energy consumption were identified in Turkiye and in Vietnam, respectively.

Chien (2022) studied the impact of renewable energy on the environmental degradation in N-11 countries based on the method of movement quantile regression. According to the findings, it is founded that renewable energy consumption decreases environmental degradation.

Shao et al. (2021) examined the relationship between green technology innovation and renewable energy with CO2 emissions for the period 1980–2018. Findings indicated the negative effect of green technology innovation and renewable energy on CO2 emissions in the long run.

Another study regarding renewable energy was fulfilled by Wang et al. (2022a, b). In this study, the moderating effect of financial development on the relationship between renewable energy and CO2 emissions in N-11 countries between 1990 and 2005 was investigated, and the results indicated that the interaction between financial development and renewable energy significantly reduced CO2 emissions. In addition, Xie et al. (2023) found that there is a positive and statistically significant influence of renewable energy on the GDP in the N-11 countries. On the other hand, Yang et al. (2022) proved that renewable energy consumption increases economic growth in the short term whereas decreases in the long term.

When the N-11 countries are analysed in terms of natural resources, which are considered an important variable in the literature on global warming and climate change, it is seen that natural resources have an increasing effect on environmental degradation (Liu et al., 2023).

Li et al. (2023a, b) investigated the effect of green finance and natural resources rents (NRR) on environmental sustainability using panel cointegration tests between 2001 and 2018. The findings indicated that green financing reduces carbon emissions and NRR negatively affects environmental sustainability.

Nathaniel (2021) explored the relationship between human well-being and ecological footprint in the N-11 countries based on econometric analyses between 1990 and 2016. Additionally, biocapasity, financial development, globalization, NRR and urbanisation variables were included in the study. The findings showed that biocapacity and financial development increase the ecological footprint whereas natural resources and globalization decrease ecological footprint. Also, human well-being increases the ecological footprint in all the countries except in Egypt.

Wang et al. (2022a, b) examined the nexus between ecological footprint, democracy, environmental regulations, economic growth, renewable energy and globalization in the N-11 countries. In this study conducted from 1990 to 2018, cross-sectional autoregressive distributed lags methods were used. The findings indicated that environmental regulations reduce ecological footprint while economic growth positively affects ecological footprint in these countries. Additionally, this study showed that democratic quality, renewable energy consumption and globalization increase environmental quality.

Sultana et al. (2023) studied the relationship between globalization and environmental degradation in selected N-11 countries between 1990 and 2019 using the method of moments quantile regression. The study also examined the impact of the GDP per capita, population growth and renewable energy consumption variables on carbon emissions. According to the findings, globalization deteriorates the environment by increasing CO2 emissions.

As can be seen, in the studies conducted so far on environmental sustainability in N-11 countries, the impact of variables on environmental degradation or the relationships between variables have been examined with various models such as panel autoregressive lag distributed, quantile regression, fully modified ordinary least squares linear or panel cointegration. Unlike previous studies, this study measures the environmental performance of N-11 countries for selected years over a 12-year period based on multiple criteria decision-making. Moreover, variables that are defined as indicators in multiple criteria decision-making are determined based on SDGs.

3. Overview of the N-11 countries

3.1 Economic indicators

The N-11 countries have different income levels. Bangladesh, Egypt, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Philippines and Vietnam are the lower-middle income, while Indonesia Iran, Mexico and Turkiye are the upper-middle-income countries. Only South Korea has the highest income among the countries (World Bank, 2024a). Table 1 presents some economic indicators of the N-11 countries. GDP per capita varies among the countries. While Bangladesh has the lowest value, Korea has the highest value. On the other hand, Vietnam ranks first in terms of foreign direct investment and exports of goods and services.

As can be seen from Table 2, the N-11 countries differ in many ways. Population, land area, population density and NRR values vary across the countries. The population is over 100 m people in 7 of the 11 countries. While the land of Korea is approximately 100,000 square km, Mexico is approximately two million square km. Total natural resources rents (TNRR) value of Iran is quietly different from the other countries. Urbanization varies about between 35 and 82% level. This spread in the values of the countries creates difficulties in making comparisons.

According to the Democracy Index declared by the Economist Intelligence Unit, countries are classified as four groups based on their regime type: full democracy, flawed, hybrid and authoritarian. This classification is made based on five dimensions that are electoral process and pluralism, functioning of government, political participation, political culture and civil liberties. Accordingly, the classification score is obtained between 10 and 0 (Economist Intelligence Unit, 2024). As of 2023, among the N-11 countries, only South Korea is a full democracy, while the Philippines and Indonesia are flawed democracies. Other countries are either in a hybrid regime or in an authoritarian regime as of 2023.

3.2 Energy-related indicators

In parallel with their economic growth, the energy use of the N-11 countries is also increasing. In 2000, energy use per capita was approximately 12,026 (kg of oil equivalent per capita) and reached 15,618 (kg of oil equivalent per capita) in 2014. This situation has also led to an increase in carbon dioxide emissions. As of 2022, the N-11 countries account for about 10% of the world's total energy consumption and about 11% of CO2 emissions (Energy Institute, 2023). As can be seen in Figure 2, CO2 emissions have gradually increased in the last two decades.

When other energy indicators are examined, it is observed that while the share of fossil fuels in total energy consumption in N-11 countries has increased, the share of renewable energy has decreased. This situation shows that caution should be exercised in the policies pursued in relation to climate change and prevention of global warming. The change in indicators is given in Figure 3.

In the literature, there have been several studies regarding the impact of the TNRR on climate change and environmental degradation. As can be seen in Table 2, this value seems to be very different in some countries. Especially Iran, Nigeria and Egypt have the higher value than the other countries. Accordingly, TNRR and urbanisation positively affect GHG emissions and cause environmental degration (Adams and Klobodu, 2017; Dua and Xiab, 2018; Koirala and Pradhan, 2020; Sánchez and Ortega, 2020; Chien et al., 2023; Alhassan and Kwakwa, 2023). However, TNRR can be a blessing or a curse for countries. The main factors determining whether TNRR will be a blessing or a curse are the level of democracy in the countries and the resilience of their institutions (Ploeg, 2011). Li et al. (2023a, b) founded that the existence of resource curses in the N-11 countries and information communication technologies reduce the negative effects of TNRR in these countries.

Regarding TNRR, Figure 4 provides information about the status of the countries between 2010 and 2021. Iran, Nigeria and Egypt have the higher rate among the N-11 countries. Especially, Iran is one of the leading countries that has the highest NRR value in the world. Additionally, NRR values of the countries decreased between 2011 and 2016, but after that time they started to increase. In 2020, this value decreased again due to the COVID-19 pandemic that emerged across the world. Bangladesh, Korea, Turkiye, Pakistan and the Philippines have the lowest value for this indicator.

3.3 Market capitalisation

The market capitalisation values of the N-11 countries differ considerably. As can be seen in Table 3, Korea has the highest total market capitalisation of the listed companies, and Iran has the second highest value, whereas Pakistan has the lowest value. Korea, also, ranks first in terms of the number of listed companies.

In addition to this, Korea Exchange and Tehran Stock Exchange are placed in the largest stock exchanges across the world based on market capitalisation as of March 2024, and their values are 1.98 and 1.77 tri US dollars, respectively. Korea Exchange accounted for 1.4% total world equity market value (Statista, 2024a).

Among the N-11 countries, especially Korea, Indonesia, the Philippines, Mexico and Turkiye seem to be more attractive as emerging markets for investment (Alonaizi and Gadhoum, 2017).

4. Indicators and method used

4.1 Indicators

To conduct performance analysis of the N-11 countries, the dataset used was obtained from the World Development Indicators database released by the World Bank (2024b). The indicators were determined on the basis of the SDGs framework, mainly SDG7 and SDG13, which are considered to be energy use and climate change (United Nations, 2024b). The years 2010, 2015 and 2022 were selected in order to compare the situation before and after 2015, the year in which the SDGs were announced. The data for these years were analysed to gain insight into the performance of the countries and whether there is an improvement regarding climate change. The indicators used are given in Table 4 below.

4.2 Method

It is aimed to minimise some variables and maximise some variables used in performance analysis. One of the multi-criteria decision-making methods can be used to analyse these conflicting variables at the same time. In this study, grey relational analysis (GRA) that is one of the most used multi criteria decision-making methods in the literature, was used to conduct performance analysis. Grey systems theory forms the basis of GRA. Grey systems theory that was developed by Deng (1982) in the early 1980s assumed that incomplete information or uncertainty is explained by greyness. The successive steps of the GRA are provided below Wu (2002).

  • Step 1: Collection data and construction of decision matrix

xi is the alternative, ϳ is the criteria (indicator) and xi(j) is the value of the alternatives for each criteria

xi=(xi(1),xi(2),...,xi(j),...,xi(n))
where i=1,2,...,m and j=1,2,...,n
(1)Xi=[x1(1)x1(2)x1(n)x2(1)x2(2)x2(n)xm(1)xm(2)xm(n)]

The rows indicate alternatives and columns indicate the criteria.

  • Step 2: Normalisation of the decision matrix

Each xi(j) is transformed to xi*(j) using one of the following formula

(2)xi*(j)=xi(j)minxi(j)jmaxxi(j)jminxi(j)j if largerisbetter

minxi(j)j is the minimum value of criteria j

maxxi(j)j is the maximum value of criteria j

(3)xi*(j)=maxxi(j)jxi(j)maxxi(j)jminxi(j)j if smallerisbetter
(4)xi*(j)=|xi(j)x0b(j)|maxxi(j)jx0b(j) if nominalisbest

At the same time, the referential series of x0 is normalised by using one of formulas 2, 3 or 4. Thus, x0(j) is used to replace xi(j). For example, if a larger is better transformation is used,

(5)x0*=x0(j)minxi(j)jmaxxi(j)jminxi(j)j

After the decision matrix is normalised with the appropriate formulas, the following normalised matrix is obtained

(6)Xi*=[x1*(1)x1*(2)x1*(n)x2*(1)x2*(2)x2*(n)xn*(1)xn*(2)xn*(n)]
  • Step 3: Constructing of the absolute values matrix

The absolute value of difference between x0* and xi* at the jth point is denoted by Δ0i(j) and this value is calculated as follows:

(7)Δ0i(j)=|x0*(j)xi*(j)|
(8)Δ0i(j)=[Δ01(1)Δ01(2)Δ01(n)Δ02(1)Δ02(2)Δ02(n)Δ0m(1)Δ0m(2)Δ0m(n)]
  • Step 4: Calculation of the grey relational coefficients (γ0i(j))

(9)γ0i(j)=Δmin+ζΔmaxΔ0i(j)+ζΔmax
where Δmax=maximaxjΔ0i(j)Δmin=miniminjΔ0i(j)ζ[0,1]
  • Step 5: Calculation of the grey relational grade (grey relational grade takes value between 0 and 1)

If the weights of criteria are determined,

(10)Γ0i=j=1n[Wi(j)×γ0i(j)]i=1,2,...,m

At the end of the process, the alternative with the highest grey relational grade is considered the most similar to the reference country and it is determined as the best alternative.

In the last step of GRA, a weight is needed for each indicator to calculate the grey relational grade. These weights can either be determined as equal for all indicators or the entropy method can be used. The entropy method is employed to guarantee objectivity while deciding on the weights of the indicators. This method can be defined as a measure of observational variety and is also thought to be a nonparametric measure of diversity (Krippendorff, 1986).

Entropy method has four steps consecutively and these are as follows:

  • Step 1. Collection data and construction of decision matrix

  • Step 2. Normalisation of the decision matrix

  • Step 3. Determination of the entropies for each indicator

  • Step 4. Calculation of entropy weights

The higher value of the weight means that this indicator is more important than the others for the solution.

5. Results

After calculating the weights of the indicators for each year, the average value was calculated; thus, performance scores of the years would be compared using the average value of the weight.

The values determined based on the entropy method are given in the following table.

According to the entropy method, the renewable energy consumption indicator has the highest value; therefore, it is regarded as the most important indicator in determining performance score. CO2 emissions and methane emissions in energy sector indicators are found to be almost equal and both have the second highest value, while access to electricity indicator has the lowest value. In addition to the weights obtained from the entropy method, equal weight values of the indicators are given in Table 5.

Based on the weights obtained from entropy method, performance scores of the countries calculated are given in Table 6.

According to the results obtained, it has been found that Bangladesh, the Philippines and Egypt have the three highest scores, while Mexico, Indonesia and Iran have the three lowest scores. In 2022, Nigeria is placed instead of Mexico in this group. It is observed that the performance scores of countries have either remained the same or increased slightly over the years. The largest increase between 2010 and 2022 has been observed in Mexico and Indonesia. Although the performance scores of the countries have changed in the same period, the change in Turkiye’s performance score has remained almost at the same level. Average scores of the N-11 countries are 06,470, 06,595 and 06,672, respectively, and it has improved only by 3% between 2010 and 2022.

When the GRA is repeated with the equal weights for the year 2022, it is seen that the scores generally increase, and the rankings change by one or two places. Performance scores of the countries calculated based on the equal weights are stated in Table 7.

In addition to the performance analysis, whether there is a relationship between the performance scores of the countries and the total market capitalisation of the listed companies was investigated using the Spearman correlation coefficient in the last step of the research. However, the existence of such a relationship was not found.

6. Discussion and conclusion

Among the SDGs announced by the United Nations in 2015, the SDG7 and SDG13 cover the targets to be achieved by 2030 regarding global warming and climate change that is one of the most important environmental problems experienced in the world. The doubling of greenhouse gas emissions over the last 50 years explains the reason for the rising temperature. The destructive consequences of this situation are emerging day by day. Almost 113 m hectares of tree cover were lost to wildfires across the world from 2001 to 2023, and 1 bn 715 m people were affected by drought worldwide from 1990 to 2023. According to the projections, sea level is expected to rise by 38 or 77 centimetres based on the very low and very high GHG emissions scenarios (Statista, 2024b). Today, it is well-known that GHG emissions have been revealed by economic growth and human activities.

On the other hand, the N-11 countries are the important emerging markets in the world and have the higher economic growth rate than the other countries, but this rapid economic growth steadily degrades environmental conditions due to excessive energy consumption. From this point of view, it is quite necessary today to measure the performance of the N-11 countries with respect to climate change and energy use as an output of the policies they follow regarding environmental sustainability. This study investigates the performance of the N-11 countries for the selected years. Thus, the tendencies of the countries on the subject are revealed.

When previous studies are examined, it is seen that advanced statistical analyses or econometric models are used to determine the environmental sustainability of N-11 countries, the variables affecting environmental degradation or the relationships between variables.

In our knowledge, this study is the first attempt to measure the performance of N-11 countries on climate change and energy use using multi-criteria decision-making, and it differs from the other studies with respect to indicators and method used. Indicators were determined based on SDG7 and SDG13 instead of the variables used in previous studies. However, the variables for GHG and renewable energy consumption are common. To conduct performance analysis of the N-11 countries, GRA was used, and the weights required for the analysis were determined by the entropy method to ensure objectivity.

According to the results obtained by the entropy method, renewable energy consumption is found to be the most important indicator in determining performance score. CO2 emissions and methane emissions indicators are almost equal and seem to be second-important indicators. Regarding performance scores, the countries with the three highest scores are Bangladesh, the Philippines and Egypt, respectively, while Nigeria, Indonesia and Iran have the three lowest scores. During the analysis period, the countries with the highest increase in performance score were Mexico and Indonesia, followed by Bangladesh, Egypt, Pakistan and Vietnam. The countries with the least change in performance score were Iran, the Philippines and Nigeria and Turkiye's score remains the same. Another important finding is that the ranking has not changed in the course of years. The fact that the performance scores of the countries remain the same or change very little over time shows that the countries do not make sufficient efforts on this issue. When the GRA is repeated with the equal weighting approach for all indicators, it has been seen that the performance scores increased, but there is no important change in rankings.

If the common characteristics of the three countries with the highest scores are examined, it is seen that they are at lower middle income level, GDP per capita value is lower than other countries, TNRR value is not high except for Egypt and urbanisation rate is below 50%. On the contrary, when the common characteristics of the 3 countries with the lowest performance score are examined, it is realized that they are at the upper middle income level except Nigeria, the TNRR value is higher than other countries and the urbanisation rate is almost 50% and above. According to the findings in the literature, GDP level, urbanisation rate and TNRR negatively affect environmental sustainability. Regarding the N-11 countries, although the findings obtained in this study support the literature, no conclusive evidence has been obtained.

Since N-11 countries are emerging markets, they offer attractive opportunities for investors. Therefore, after the performance analysis, the Spearman correlation coefficient was used to investigate whether there is a relationship between the performance score of the countries and the total market value of the companies traded on the stock exchange. As a result, no statistically significant relationship was found.

South Korea is the most remarkable country among the N −11 countries. It is unique or ranks first in terms of some indicators. Korea is the only country in the group with high income levels and full democracy. In addition, it has the highest GDP per capita and urbanisation level. It also ranks first in terms of total market capitalisation of listed companies. Despite all these characteristics, the performance score is not high level and Korea is ranked seventh. The main reason for this situation is that Korea is not in the first place in indicators with higher weights, such as renewable energy use and CO2 emissions.

Another country to be focused on is Iran as it has the lowest score among the N-11 countries. Iran is an authoritarian regime with a very low score in the democracy index. Its urbanisation rate is at a higher level compared to other countries. It is also one of the countries with the highest TNRR rate in the world. Accordingly, CO2 emissions are the highest among the N-11 countries. Moreover, it is one of the three countries in the world that did not sign the Paris Climate Agreement. However, Iran ranks the second in terms of total market capitalisation of the listed companies among the N-11 countries.

Various indices have been developed throughout the world to monitor and evaluate the performance of the countries in terms of environmental sustainability. The Climate Change Performance Index (CCPI), one of these indices, is released every year and it includes 63 countries as of 2023. GHG emissions, renewable energy, energy use and climate policy are the four sub-categories that make up the CCPI. Each country's overall score is determined using the information in these categories, and the results are used to rank the countries. Furthermore, based on the degree of the scores, the countries are split into five groups: very high, high, medium, low and very low (Burck et al., 2023). According to the CCPI 2023, the Philippines receives a high while Nigeria, Pakistan Egypt and Vietnam earn a medium. Indonesia and Mexico are at the low whereas Turkiye, South Korea and Iran perform very low. Bangladesh is not included in the index. Despite the ranks changing from year to year, Iran and Korea are placed in the group called “very low” of this index continuously from 2018 to today. Also, according to the same index among N-11 countries, Mexico, Nigeria, Indonesia and Iran are the biggest producers of oil, gas and coal across the world. Considering that these countries have high values in terms of the NRR indicator, the reason for their low performance scores obtained in GRA can be explained.

This study has some limitations. When different multi-criteria decision-making methods and different weighting methods are applied or different indicators are used, it is clear that different rankings might be obtained.

As a further research, a comparison can be made by using other methods within the scope of multi-criteria decision-making by using a larger number of indicators for more countries.

It is very important that the N-11 countries, which are considered emerging markets and have an important place in world trade, should take measures to reduce the environmental degradation they cause. Especially, the countries having the lowest performance scores should review their climate change policies, and not only these countries but also all should implement preventative measures in order to meet the SDG targets by 2030. However, it would be optimistic to expect that N-11 countries, which have improved by only 3% in 12 years, will make a breakthrough by 2030.

Figures

Annual GHG emissions worldwide from 1970 to 2022

Figure 1

Annual GHG emissions worldwide from 1970 to 2022

Total CO2 emissions (kt) of the N-11 countries

Figure 2

Total CO2 emissions (kt) of the N-11 countries

Renewable energy and fossil fuel energy consumption in N-11 countries

Figure 3

Renewable energy and fossil fuel energy consumption in N-11 countries

Total natural resource rents (% of GDP) consumption in the N-11 countries

Figure 4

Total natural resource rents (% of GDP) consumption in the N-11 countries

Economic indicators of the N-11 countries*

GDP growth (annual %)GDP per capita, PPP (current international $)Foreign direct investment, net inflows (% of GDP)Exports of goods and services (% of GDP)
Bangladesh6.385282.290.9115.12
Egypt3.9412667.741.9415.71
Indonesia4.7311210.272.0321.99
Iran2.1615819.520.6223.91
Korea2.9240865.940.8244.94
Mexico1.9820084.692.6735.58
Nigeria3.185358.550.86N.A.
Pakistan3.544894.530.6310.40
The Philippines5.247756.781.9927.93
Turkiye5.8527454.981.5127.94
Vietnam6.029410.464.6177.10

Note(s): *Average values from 2010 to today are stated in Table 1

Source(s): World Development Indicators (WDI) database

N-11 countries based on selected indicators*

Population, totalPopulation density (people per sq. km of land area)Land area (sq. km)Total natural resources rents (% of GDP)Urban population (% of total population)Regime typeDemocracy index score (10–0)
Bangladesh160,729,3451220.24130,1700.9635.47Hybrid5.87
Egypt100,410,98098.95995,4507.1342.86Authoritarian2.93
Indonesia262,255,828138.321,878,7724.6454.29Flawed6.53
Iran83,013,05450.451,626,15223.4174.07Authoritarian1.96
Korea51,057,262522.8797,4430.0781.61Full democracy8.09
Mexico121,482,57561.941,943,9503.8279.71Hybrid5.14
Nigeria191,608,784204.97910,7709.6449.02Hybrid4.23
Pakistan216,261,444275.80770,8801.6736.41Authoritarian3.25
The Philippines105,899,621349.27298,1701.3446.67Flawed6.66
Turkiye79,678,915102.34769,6300.6074.30Hybrid4.33
Vietnam93,412,089295.38313,3594.5734.89Authoritarian2.62

Note(s): *Average values from 2010 to today are stated in Table 2

Source(s): World Development Indicators (WDI) database

Market capitalisation values of the stock exchanges in N-11 countries

CountryName of the stock exchangeNumber of listed companiesDomestic market capitalisation (million US$)
BangladeshChittagong Stock Exchange (CSE)62873,380
BangladeshDhaka Stock Exchange34857,010
EgyptEgyptian Exchange24235,111
IndonesiaIndonesia Stock Exchange (IDX)852604,638
IranIran Fara Bourse Securities Exchange14848,495
IranTehran Stock Exchange3801,160,181
KoreaKorea Exchange (KRX)2,4062,218,658
MexicoBolsa Institucional de Valores (BIVA)6417,300
MexicoBolsa Mexicana de Valores (Mexican Stock Exchange)144459,708
NigeriaNigerian Exchange (NGX)17486,163
PakistanPakistan Stock Exchange52324,900
The PhilippinesPhilippine Stock Exchange288259,770
TurkiyeBorsa Istanbul505279,303
VietnamHanoi Stock Exchange34522,399
VietnamHo Chi Minh Stock Exchange404256,395

Indicators used

SDGsIndicatorsAbbreviation
Goal 7. Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for allAccess to clean fuels and technologies for cooking (% of population)7.1
Access to electricity (% of population)7.2
Energy intensity level of primary energy (MJ/$2017 PPP GDP)7.3
Renewable energy consumption (% of total final energy consumption)7.4
Goal 13. Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impactsMethane emissions in energy sector (thousand metric tons of CO2 equivalent)13.1
Nitrous oxide emissions in energy sector (thousand metric tons of CO2 equivalent)13.2
CO2 emissions (metric tons per capita)13.3

Source(s): Author’s own work

Results of the entropy method

Indicators
Years7.17.27.37.413.113.213.3
20100.12880.08070.08850.20280.19530.11350.1905
20150.12670.07900.09310.20100.20310.10620.1908
20220.10770.07550.10400.19610.20000.11790.1988
Average0.12110.07840.09520.20000.19940.11260.1934
Equal weight0.14290.14290.14290.14290.14290.14290.1429

Source(s): Author’s own work

GRA scores of the N-11 countries

201020152022Change % (2010–2022)
ScoreRankScoreRankScoreRank
Bangladesh0.756310.756710.781110.0328
Egypt, Arab Rep0.719930.727830.742230.0311
Indonesia0.5375100.5666100.5729100.0660
Iran, Islamic Rep0.5040110.5052110.5111110.0141
Korea, Rep0.622370.628570.640070.0284
Mexico0.583290.599290.635680.0899
Nigeria0.604280.617180.613390.0152
Pakistan0.662260.673260.684360.0334
The Philippines0.743120.744520.754220.0150
Turkiye0.711840.724540.708640.0045
Vietnam0.672550.711850.696350.0353
N-11 (Average)0.6470 0.6595 0.6672 0.0313

Source(s): Author’s own work

Comparison of the GRA scores based on two different weighting approach

 Year 2022Scores based on entropyRankScores based on equal weightingRank
Bangladesh0.781110.79351
Egypt, Arab Rep0.742230.78992
Indonesia0.5729100.60759
Iran, Islamic Rep0.5111110.568510
Korea, Rep0.640070.67366
Mexico0.635680.67347
Nigeria0.613390.544611
Pakistan0.684360.67158
The Philippines0.754220.75673
Turkiye0.708640.75344
Vietnam0.696350.72695
Average0.6672 0.6872

Source(s): Author’s own work

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Corresponding author

Nuray Tezcan can be contacted at: nuraytezcan@halic.edu.tr

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