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Estimation of Armington elasticities for trade-policy analysis

Kai Liu (Department of Engineering, Kobe University, Kobe, Japan)
Masato Yamazaki (Disaster Mitigation Research Center, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan)
Atsushi Koike (Department of Engineering, Kobe University, Kobe, Japan)

Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies

ISSN: 1754-4408

Article publication date: 7 May 2020

Issue publication date: 18 May 2020

158

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to compare the Armington elasticities for world average values and country-specific values and obtain evidence for whether the world average elasticities and the “rule of two”, which have been applied in many papers, are accurate for cereals in trade policy studies related to an individual country.

Design/methodology/approach

The authors use panel data with a nested model to estimate and compare Armington elasticities based on world average values and country-specific values from 10 countries and regions.

Findings

The results suggest that cereals’ elasticities vary between world average values and country-specific values, and the “rule of two” is not strictly applicable. In fact, the “less than two” concept fits well in many cases.

Originality/value

This study sheds light on the effects of country heterogeneity on the elasticities and the accuracy of using world average elasticities in a trade policy study for an individual country. In addition, this paper offers estimated values of country-specific elasticities for 10 countries and regions.

Keywords

Acknowledgements

This work is financially supported in part by the scholarship from China Scholarship Council (CSC) under the Grant code – CSC201806350228. Our deepest gratitude goes first and foremost to Professor Yueying Mu from China agricultural university for her constant writing assistance.

Citation

Liu, K., Yamazaki, M. and Koike, A. (2020), "Estimation of Armington elasticities for trade-policy analysis", Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies, Vol. 13 No. 1, pp. 21-35. https://doi.org/10.1108/JCEFTS-12-2019-0066

Publisher

:

Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2020, Emerald Publishing Limited

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