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An integrated risk prioritization and determination of activity-wise delay (IRPAD) framework for enhancing schedule management in tunnel projects

Abhaysinha Gunvantrao Shelake (Department of Civil Engineering, Dr Vishwanath Karad MIT World Peace University, Pune, India)
Nivedita Gunesh Gogate (Department of Civil Engineering, Dr Vishwanath Karad MIT World Peace University, Pune, India)

Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management

ISSN: 0969-9988

Article publication date: 19 November 2024

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Abstract

Purpose

This study aims to develop a comprehensive framework for addressing delays in tunnel construction projects by leveraging predictable risk factors. Tunnel projects often encounter scheduling delays due to inherent complexities and uncertainties, necessitating a proactive approach to prevent project underperformance.

Design/methodology/approach

The integrated risk prioritization and determination of activity-wise delay (IRPAD) framework is divided into four phases: identification and prioritization of risk factors, determination of activity-wise risk coefficients using MCDM-based methodology, obtaining the critical risk path, and developing an activity-wise risk matrix. Fault tree analysis (FTA) and event tree analysis (ETA) are employed to determine activity-wise risk coefficients based on expert responses.

Findings

The framework’s applicability in Indian tunnel projects is demonstrated through a real-world case study with 95% validation accuracy. The IRPAD framework enhances the delay analysis process and facilitates the provision of effective activity-wise mitigation measures.

Practical implications

The IRPAD framework predicts delays in infrastructure projects thus enhancing resilience and sustainability, supporting SDGs 9 and 11. It can be applied to a wide range of construction projects to improve project performance.

Originality/value

This research introduces novel concepts such as the three fold activity-wise risk matrix and the critical risk path, contributing to the development of the IRPAD framework for delay reduction. This framework offers valuable insights to practitioners in the construction industry.

Keywords

Acknowledgements

The authors thank the tunnel experts who carefully responded to the questionnaires and whose suggestions were useful in improving the IRPAD framework to a great extent. The authors thank the anonymous reviewers who carefully reviewed the paper and whose suggestions were useful in improving the manuscript to a great extent.

Citation

Shelake, A.G. and Gogate, N.G. (2024), "An integrated risk prioritization and determination of activity-wise delay (IRPAD) framework for enhancing schedule management in tunnel projects", Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, Vol. ahead-of-print No. ahead-of-print. https://doi.org/10.1108/ECAM-06-2024-0780

Publisher

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Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2024, Emerald Publishing Limited

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