Prelims

Indranarain Ramlall

Understanding Financial Stability

ISBN: 978-1-78756-834-1, eISBN: 978-1-78756-833-4

Publication date: 4 December 2018

Citation

Ramlall, I. (2018), "Prelims", Understanding Financial Stability (The Theory and Practice of Financial Stability, Vol. 1), Emerald Publishing Limited, Leeds, pp. i-xxi. https://doi.org/10.1108/978-1-78756-833-420181007

Publisher

:

Emerald Publishing Limited

Copyright © 2019 Emerald Publishing Limited


Half Title Page

UNDERSTANDING FINANCIAL STABILITY

Series Page

COMPLETE VOLUMES ON THEORY AND PRACTICE OF FINANCIAL STABILITY

Volume 1: Understanding Financial Stability
Volume 2: The Banking Sector under Financial Stability
Volume 3: The Corporate, Real Estate, Household, Government and Non-bank Financial Sectors under Financial Stability
Volume 4: Economic Areas under Financial Stability
Volume 5: Tools and Techniques for Financial Stability Analysis

Praise for The Theory and Practice of Financial Stability

Indranarain Ramlall’s proposal is a great attempt at giving a comprehensive view of financial stability from a theoretical, practical and policy perspective. It aims at providing future students with the tools to understand the framework in which financial stability is assessed and understood today by international organisations and central banks across the world. To my knowledge, this is the only book that covers such a wide range of topics related to financial stability. It, therefore, has the potential to become a good reference book on the topic. I believe that Indranarain Ramlall has made a great proposal to provide a “big picture view” on financial stability. I look forward to reading the textbook!

Celine Tcheng, Central Bank of France

Financial stability has become a major concern for central banks, after the 2008 global financial crisis. More and more research is tackling topics regarding the role of the financial system in macroeconomic models and the implementation of macroprudential policy. Therefore, a comprehensive overlook of financial stability issues, such as the one offered by The Theory and Practice of Financial Stability can prove particularly useful for experts working in the financial system, central bankers included. The textbook covers a diverse set of topics from policy matters to risk assessment analysis.

Elena Banu, Central Bank of Romania

This book is a comprehensive work on one of the most actual topics in the aftermath of the Great Recession. It covers a wide range of topics on financial stability complementing theoretical frameworks with practical examples.

Starting with a conceptual description on financial stability, the book overviews a history of the major financial crises and Basel regulation rules. Particularly useful is an inquiry of the financial stability perspectives across different asset classes and economy sectors. Another beneficial feature of this book is a complete oversight of stress testing methodologies.

The book is a thorough compilation of topics on financial stability and definitely deserves a place on the bookshelves of central bankers, government and private institutions’ officials.

Vaidotas Sumskis, Bank of Lithuania

Dr Indranarain’s book is an actual textbook for interpreting interrelations between all aspects and sectors of the international economy and will surely be a highly useful tool for credit institutions, investors, practitioners as well as academics. From a Central Bank’s point of view this book provides an integrated approach to macroeconomic environment and the interactions between the various factors and an actual tool for assessing and measuring leading circumstances and indicators that affect financial stability and may cause vulnerabilities.

Vasiliki Vlachostergiou, Central Bank of Greece

This is a monumental work! I didn’t find anything missing. I think it will be useful for students, economic and finance professionals and policymakers.

Christophe Andre, OECD

Financial stability was always a priority for financial sector regulators and it has surpassed other objectives since the global financial crisis. Given various complexities associated with the financial stability and rapid developments over time, existing literature tends to deal with specific aspects of financial stability. It is very difficult to get a comprehensive book dealing with the wide range of concepts, different segments of financial sector, ever increasing variety of financial instruments and regulations associated with financial stability. The current book is a very good attempt to fill this gap through its comprehensive coverage of almost the entire gamut of financial stability related topics. This book should be useful for financial sector regulators, related ministries in the governments, researchers, multilateral institutions, other financial sector stakeholders and general public who are interested to know the complexities of the financial sector and financial stability.

Ajay Prakash-an expert in Financial Stability

Title Page

THE THEORY AND PRACTICE OF FINANCIAL STABILITY, VOLUME 1

UNDERSTANDING FINANCIAL STABILITY

BY

INDRANARAIN RAMLALL

University of Mauritius, Mauritius

United Kingdom – North America – Japan – India – Malaysia – China

Copyright Page

Emerald Publishing Limited

Howard House, Wagon Lane, Bingley BD16 1WA, UK

First edition 2019

Copyright © 2019 Emerald Publishing Limited

Reprints and permissions service

Contact:

No part of this book may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, transmitted in any form or by any means electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise without either the prior written permission of the publisher or a licence permitting restricted copying issued in the UK by The Copyright Licensing Agency and in the USA by The Copyright Clearance Center. Any opinions expressed in the chapters are those of the authors. Whilst Emerald makes every effort to ensure the quality and accuracy of its content, Emerald makes no representation implied or otherwise, as to the chapters’ suitability and application and disclaims any warranties, express or implied, to their use.

British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data

A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library

ISBN: 978-1-78756-834-1 (Print)

ISBN: 978-1-78756-833-4 (Online)

ISBN: 978-1-78756-835-8 (Epub)

Dedication

Dedicated to God for making me an instrument of his own

List of Figures

Chapter 1
Figure 1.1 Key Components of a Financial System. 1
Figure 1.2 Effects of Information Asymmetry in terms of Resource Misallocations. 11
Chapter 2
Figure 2.1 Peak of a Business Cycle. 30
Chapter 3
Figure 3.1 Risks to Financial Stability for the Upcoming Six Months. 37
Figure 3.2 Core and Encouraged Sets of FSI under the IMF and World Bank under FSAP. 38
Figure 3.3 Relationship between Financial Stability and Monetary Stability. 45
Figure 3.4 Transmission Mechanism of Monetary Policy as per ECB. 46
Figure 3.5 Interest Rate Transmission Mechanism of Monetary Policy. 46
Figure 3.6 Visual Flow of the Transmission Channels of Monetary Policy on Consumption and Exports as per Bank of Indonesia. 47
Figure 3.7 Chernoff Faces for the Mauritian Banking Sector. 49
Chapter 4
Figure 4.1 UK Banks’ Aggregate Balance Sheet as Percentage of GDP. 67
Figure 4.2 UK Banks’ Aggregate Balance Sheet as Percentage of GDP. 67
Figure 4.3 UK Banks and Building Societies £ Lending/Deposits to/from Private Non-financial Sector as Percentage of GDP: 1964. 67
Figure 4.4 UK Banks and Building Societies £ Lending/Deposits to/from Private Non-financial Sector as Percentage of GDP: 2007. 68
Figure 4.5 Corporate Loans by Sector: 1998–2008. 68
Figure 4.6 Corporate Deposits by Sector: 1998–2009. 69
Figure 4.7 Corporate Sector Net Deposits/Borrowing: 1998–2009. 69
Chapter 5
Figure 5.1 Motives behind Cyber-attacks. 76
Figure 5.2 Forms of Financial Safety Nets. 81
Chapter 6
Figure 6.1 Basic Trilemma in International Finance. 98
Figure 6.2 Ways to Deal with Financial Crises. 108
Figure 6.3 Broad Overview Schema of the Crisis. 114
Appendix 1
Figure A.1 Mortgage-backed Securities: Demystifying the Concept. 118
Figure A.2 Special-purpose Vehicle. 119

List of Tables

Chapter 2
Table 2.1 Disentangling the Relationship between Economics and Finance and Financial Stability. 22
Chapter 3
Table 3.1 The Core Set of Financial Soundness Indicators. 39
Table 3.2 The Encouraged Set of FSIs. 40
Chapter 6
Table 6.1 Boom and Bust Analysis of Markets. 91
Table 6.2 Summary of the Cost of Banking Crises (Over the Period 1970–2009). 96
Table 6.3 Measures taken by US Federal Government in Response to the 2007 US Subprime Crisis. 109
Table 6.4 Establishing the Demarcation Line between Economics and Ergonomics. 112
Table 6.5 Actual and Projected Recovery to Previous Real GDP Peak in the Euro Area. 115
Glossary
Table G1 Difference between Operating Lease and Finance Lease. 128

List of Acronyms

ABCP

Asset-backed Commercial Paper

BCBS

Basel Committee on Banking Supervision

BIS

Bank for International Settlement

CDO

Collateralised Debt Obligations

CDS

Credit Default Swaps

CMO

Collateralised Mortgage Obligations

DTI

Debt to Income

ECB

European Central Bank

EMH

Efficient Market Hypothesis

ESCB

European System of Central Banks

EU

European Union

FSAP

Financial Sector Assessment Program

FSB

Financial Stability Board

FDI

Foreign Direct Investment

FSIs

Financial Soundness Indicators

FSRs

Financial Stability Reports

GDP

Gross Domestic Product

GFSR

Global Financial Stability Report

IMF

International Monetary Fund

IOSCO

International Organisation of Securities Commissions

LTV

Loan to Value

OTC

Over-the-counter

QE

Quantitative Easing

SMEs

Small and Medium Enterprises

SPV

Special Purpose Vehicles

UNCTAD

United Nations Conference on Trade and Development

Preface

The aim of Volume 1 is to provide complete coverage of all key elements ingrained in the concept of financial stability by addressing financial stability in different dimensions. Focus is placed on different definitions of financial stability with particular emphasis being laid as to why financial stability constitutes an important component which weighs high in the agenda of policy-makers worldwide. Based on various definitions, we develop our own definition – financial stability pertains to a sound and proactive risk management of the financial system in view of abating down the impacts of adverse shocks susceptible to gnaw at higher GDP growth rates. A holistic approach is undertaken to cater for the interactions between financial stability and monetary policy. Focus is also being laid on the political economy as it is considered to play a preponderant role with respect to the maintenance of financial stability. The genesis of a crisis is given full consideration with no stone being left unturned as to cater for the various theories which account for the existence of financial crises in the world. A historical analysis is also performed with respect to crises which buffeted the world. Whether the predictability aspect or the resilience aspect of a crisis should be observed by policy-makers is also being given due consideration. In essence, the first volume undertakes a full-fledged analysis of all key elements embedded in the concept of financial stability.

The book has been written as a reference material to cater for the needs of both new and experienced professionals such as central bankers, researchers, economists and policy-makers who are involved in the field of financial stability. As a matter of fact, many central banks now have a financial stability unit or a department but so far, there is no textbook which weaves through the various aspects of financial stability. Central bankers can use the book to beef up the analytical part of their financial stability reports by incorporating new tools of assessments. The book appeals to courses/programmes on financial stability as provided by Yale School of Management (Macroprudential Policy or Financial Stability Regulation/Master of Management studies in Systemic Risk), Goethe Business School (Financial Stability and Regulation/Executive Education course) and Florence School of Banking and Finance (Banking and Financial Stability course). To date, there are no textbooks or referenced materials which undertake an intensive and coherent approach to financial stability. For example, there is no such framework as to how financial stability, as a process, should be performed. This book attempts to provide all key issues in a highly comprehensive and critical manner. In that respect, the book is expected to be widely used worldwide, both by professionals and by researchers.

The author expects the book to be particularly useful to economists, policy-makers, researchers and students in effectively gaining insight on financial stability. As at date, there is no textbook on financial stability which weaves through all aspects of financial stability-from theory to practice. This series of five books on financial stability attempts to fill in such a vacuum. Comments and suggestions can be made to . The author seizes this opportunity to thank an anonymous referee from the London School of Economics for his suggestions and reviews made by professionals from central banks and reputable organisations.

Dr Indranarain Ramlall

June 2018