The Essence and Peculiarities of Implementing the Optimal Scenario of Digital Economy Development in Modern Russia

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this chapter is to compile the expected scenarios of development of digital economy in modern Russia and determine the essence and peculiarities of the optimal scenario implementation.

Methodology

The research is based on the Theory of Games, which is used for comparison of expected scenarios of development of digital economy in modern Russia. A criterion of optimality of the scenario of development of digital economy in modern Russia in this work is effectiveness of its implementation, determined by comparing the results and expenditures in view of probability of each possible sub-scenario.

Results

The performed scenario analysis of development of digital economy in modern Russia showed that the most effective and, therefore, optimal scenario is the one that envisages implementation of the offered new model of a well-balanced digital economy. Despite the fact that probability was determined only for sub-scenarios, within each distinguished scenario, (for determining confidence intervals of the values of indicators) which were not compared with the level of their probability, the given optimal scenario envisages the largest changes compared to the current set course of the formation of digital economy in Russia and hence is the least probable.

Recommendations

The established optimal expected scenario of development of digital economy, which envisages application of its new well-balanced model, is recommended for practical implementation in modern Russia. The given quantitative characteristics of the optimal scenario of development of digital economy in modern Russia could and should be recommended for usage as the basis for developing practical recommendations for monitoring and control of implementation of the optimization model of digital economy in modern Russia.

Citation

Gashenko, I.V., Bogataya, I.N., Orobinskaya, I.V. and Zima, Y.S. (2018), "The Essence and Peculiarities of Implementing the Optimal Scenario of Digital Economy Development in Modern Russia", Sukhodolov, A.P., Popkova, E.G. and Litvinova, T.N. (Ed.) Models of Modern Information Economy, Emerald Publishing Limited, Leeds, pp. 313-322. https://doi.org/10.1108/978-1-78756-287-520181032