Prelims
ISBN: 978-1-78635-158-6, eISBN: 978-1-78635-157-9
Publication date: 19 December 2016
Citation
Prabhakar, A.C. (2016), "Prelims", The Current Global Recession, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, Leeds, pp. i-xxiii. https://doi.org/10.1108/978-1-78635-158-620161002
Publisher
:Emerald Group Publishing Limited
Copyright © 2017 Emerald Group Publishing Limited
Half Title Page
THE CURRENT GLOBAL RECESSION
A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation into Developed and BRICS Economies
Title Page
THE CURRENT GLOBAL RECESSION
A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation into Developed and BRICS Economies
BY
AKHILESH CHANDRA PRABHAKAR
Universiti Utara Malaysia (UUM), India
United Kingdom – North America – Japan – India – Malaysia – China
Copyright Page
Emerald Group Publishing Limited
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First edition 2017
Copyright © 2017 Emerald Group Publishing Limited
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ISBN: 978-1-78635-158-6
Dedication
Dedicated to the memory of my father Ram Singh with reverence and affection.
List of Tables
Chapter 1 | ||
Table 1.1 | World GDP. | 22 |
Chapter 5 | ||
Table 5.1 | The TRPF in Percentage. | 161 |
Chapter 7 | ||
Table 7.1 | GDP Growth Estimates and Projections: IMF and World Bank (in Percentage). | 205 |
Table 7.2 | World Bank Global Economic Prospects, June 2010 (in Percentage) | 206 |
Table 7.3 | Global Outlook for Growth of GDP in Percentage, 1996–2012 (January 2012). | 207 |
Table 7.4 | Comparison of Base Scenario with Optimistic and Pessimistic Scenarios, 2012–2025. | 209 |
Table 7.5. | Growth of World Output 2007–2015. | 216 |
Table 7.6 | Total 474 Banks Collapse in the United States in the Last Five Years, and It Is Continued. | 220 |
Table 7.7 | GDP Falling (in Percentage). | 221 |
Chapter 8 | ||
Table 8.1 | Income Inequality Gap in India (in %). | 261 |
Table 8.2 | Rate at which Markets Are Willing to Lend to Governments (in %) for 10 Years | 270 |
Table 8.3 | Overview of the World Economic Outlook Projections (Percent Change Unless Noted Otherwise). | 283 |
Chapter 9 | ||
Table 9.1 | Intra-BRICS Balance (Outflow–Inflow) of FDI in US$ Million. | 300 |
Table 9.2 | Bilateral FDI among the Five Countries (January 2003–July 2013 in US$ Million). | 301 |
Table 9.3 | Chinese FDI into Other BRICS. | 302 |
Table 9.4 | Indian FDI into Other BRICS. | 305 |
Table 9.5 | Russian FDI into Other BRICS (in %). | 308 |
Table 9.6 | South African FDI into Other BRICS | 310 |
Table 9.7 | Brazilian FDI into Other BRICS (in %). | 311 |
Table 9.8 | Brazilian Exports to Other BRICS (Primary Commodities and Middle- and Low-Technology Products). | 313 |
Table 9.9 | Brazilian Imports to Other BRICS (Primary Commodities and Middle- and Low-Technology Products). | 314 |
List of Figures
Chapter 7 | ||
Figure 7.1 | Bank Collapse in the United States (2008–2018). | 211 |
Figure 7.2 | GDP Falling per Year (in Percentage). In the EU, the GDP ratio is negatively growing with 12% unemployment rate. Unemployment rates in Greece are 52% and Spain are 25%, respectively. | 212 |
Figure 7.3 | World GDP (in %). | 212 |
Figure 7.4 | GDP of United States, China and India (in %) | 213 |
Figure 7.5 | GDP of World, Developed and Developing Countries (in %). | 213 |
Figure 7.6 | World Output Growth and World Trade (in %) | 214 |
Figure 7.7 | Economic Development (in %). | 214 |
Figure 7.8 | BRICS’ Economic Performance in Terms of GDP (in %). | 215 |
Chapter 9 | ||
Figure 9.1 | GDP Performance of the BRICS | 215 |
List of Abbreviations
DCIT | Developing Countries in International Trade |
E7 | Seven Emerging Economies |
EU | European Union |
EU15 | EU Member States before 2004 |
EU10 | EU Member States that Acceded in 2004 |
EVI | Economic Vulnerability Index |
GDP | Gross Domestic Product |
GNI | Gross National Income |
GNTB | Group of Eminent Persons on Non-tariff Barriers |
ICT | Information and Communication Technology |
Input MI | Input Measure Index |
LDC | Least Developed Country |
MID | Middle-income Developing Country |
NBER | National Bureau of Economic Research |
NTBs | Non-tariff Barriers |
Outcome MI | Outcome Measure Index |
PCA | Principal Component Analysis |
PPP | Purchasing Power Parity |
SIC | Structural and Institutional Context |
TDI | Trade and Development Index |
TDP | Trade and Development Performance |
TPP | Trade Policies and Processes |
TRAINS | Trade Analyses and Information System |
UNDP | United Nations Development Programme |
QE | Quantitative Easing |
Foreword
We are very lucky today. Our generations have an opportunity to see the implosion of socialism in the last decade of the twentieth century, and the great depression of capitalism in the first decade of twenty-first century. This study provides an overview of recent global economic performance and short-term prospects for the world economy and of some key global economic policy and development issues. One of its purposes is to serve as a point of reference for discussions on economic, social and related issues. The study discusses several policy directions to stimulate more direct job creation and investment in infrastructure, energy efficiency and sustainable energy supply, and food security; stronger financial safety nets; better coordination between fiscal and monetary policies; and the provision of sufficient support to developing countries in addressing the fallout from the crisis and the coordination of policy measures at the international level.
This book is designed for use in courses that focus on the effected countries from global economic depression (especially) in the United States and the EU, and Chinese responses to the global crisis. The study is based on theoretical and empirical investigation. It has designed to meet the requirements of the economic researchers as well university students who study the courses of economics, finance, banking and management at graduate and postgraduate levels, and various educational and research institutions and libraries, NGOs, Government Offices, etc. This study resulted from 10 years of teaching of development economics at various universities like Universiti Utara Malaysia (UUM), Addis Ababa University, Gondar University and Debre Birhan University in Ethiopia as well as travel Kenya as a researcher. These experiences have helped shape and refine a book that is unique in approach, organization and pedagogy in the context of a major set of problems, such as capitalist crisis, development problems, poverty, inequality, unemployment, environmental decay and rural stagnation. It proceeds to evaluate the economic growth in historical context, and focuses on major economic trends and current international trade trends as well as cooperation among the developing countries.
Acknowledgements
I am grateful to Prof. Dato’ Wira Dr. Mohamed Mustafa bin Ishak, Vice-Chancellor of UUM, who have given me an opportunity to serve UUM. I am immensely indebted to Prof. Dr. Yusnidah Bt Ibrahim, the Dean of SEFB, COB for inspiring me to write this book. My gratitude to Dr. Siti Aznor Ahmad, the Deputy Dean of SEFB, Dr. Noor Azam, Head of the Department of Economics, and all colleagues and non-academic staffs including Assistant Registrar of SEFB, UUM. I am also very thankful to Prof. Prabhat Patnaik (Member of Planning Commission of India and the Dean of SSI, JNU, New Delhi), Prof Jayati Ghosh (JNU), Prof. Samir Amin (France) and many reviewers, both in Malaysia and abroad, who provided detailed and insightful comments for this book. I thank my current and former colleagues and friends who have provided a lot of suggestions and information, Dr. Mohammad Azam (Pakistaan), Dr. Rabiul Islam (Bangladesh), Prof.Asish Saha (India), Dr. Ahmad Sahidah (Indonesia), Dr. B. Bakhtiyar (Iran) and Dr. Abdullah Sumrahadi (Indonesia). I thank the several thousand students whom I have been privileged to teach. The instant response that comes from the look of puzzlement or enlightenment has taught me how to teach economics. Finally, I thank my mother Laxmi Devi, my life partner Julie Rani and lovely kids Raj and Neel, without whose generous cooperation and help this book would not have been possible.
Suggestions for improvements in the book from fellow teachers and readers are most welcome.
- Prelims
- Part 1 Theoretical Investigation
- 1 Introduction
- 2 The Great Recession and the Great Depression
- 3 Collapse of Neo-Liberalism: The Debate
- 4 Crony Capitalism
- 5 Overproduction and Underconsumption
- 6 Technology and Economic Growth
- Part 2 Empirical Investigation
- 7 Global Economy — An Enquiry
- 8 Income, Poverty and Inequality
- 9 BRICS: A New World Economic Order
- 10 China: A New Business and Economic Leader
- 11 The Global Economic Recession: South Perspective
- 12 Conclusion
- Bibliography
- Index